Geopolitics Alpha

What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?

Published . Updated .

What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz? Al-Monitor

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    Tracks U.S. crude prices when Gulf supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy companies move with a Gulf supply scare

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • DAL Delta Air Lines

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO———————
INSW———————
DHT———————
TNK———————
USO———————
XLE———————
LMT———————
XOM———————
RTX———————
DAL———————

What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz? Al-Monitor

Source: Al-Monitor

How United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) moved across the last 3 defense stories

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
Vanguard World Fd (VDE)the next day+3.32%+3.32%+3.32%2
Vanguard World Fd (VDE)three days later+1.98%+1.98%+1.98%2

The price since 13 Oct 2026: United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is +3.14%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +3.53% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +3.33% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BAthat day-1.05%final price
BAthe next day+1.18%final price
BAtwo days later+1.89%final price
BAthree days later+2.59%final price
BAthree days earlier+2.10%final price
BAfive days earlier+0.94%final price
GDthat day+0.64%final price
GDthe next day+1.35%final price
GDtwo days later+3.50%final price
GDthree days later+2.66%final price
GDthree days earlier-0.34%final price
GDfive days earlier-1.80%final price
HIIthat day+2.63%final price
HIIthe next day+3.73%final price
HIItwo days later+5.41%final price
HIIthree days later+4.60%final price
HIIthree days earlier+2.68%final price
HIIfive days earlier+1.16%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day+0.09%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)the next day+1.36%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)two days later+2.47%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days later+1.74%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier+1.27%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-0.22%final price
LHXthat day+1.21%final price
LHXthe next day+2.49%final price
LHXtwo days later+5.87%final price
LHXthree days later+3.92%final price
LHXthree days earlier+0.98%final price
LHXfive days earlier-0.40%final price
BNO
SPY
XLI

Where this story sits: Strait of Hormuz

Strait of Hormuz has 198 linked stories in the last 7 days and 198 in the last 30 on the page that also carries “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?.” The recent pace is rising.

Who collects and who pays in defense

Companies mentioned with this story

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-transport or export disruption can transmit through crude and refined-product prices, energy-producer cash flows, and oil-services activity

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?.” Reason on file: Oil-transport or export disruption can transmit through crude and refined-product prices, energy-producer cash flows, and oil-services activity

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    For “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-transport or export disruption can transmit through crude and refined-product prices, energy-producer cash flows, and oil-services activity

  • VDE Vanguard World Fd

    For “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?,” Vanguard World Fd (VDE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-transport or export disruption can transmit through crude and refined-product prices, energy-producer cash flows, and oil-services activity

  • FENY

    For “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?,” FENY is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-transport or export disruption can transmit through crude and refined-product prices, energy-producer cash flows, and oil-services activity

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    For “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-transport or export disruption can transmit through crude and refined-product prices, energy-producer cash flows, and oil-services activity

  • IEZ Ishares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services Etf

    For “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?,” Ishares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services Etf (IEZ) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-transport or export disruption can transmit through crude and refined-product prices, energy-producer cash flows, and oil-services activity

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Security escalation can change defense, aerospace, surveillance, satellite, and military-space demand expectations

What Strait of Hormuz means for United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO)

On 13 Oct 2026, “What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?” is the story that connects United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) to Strait of Hormuz.

United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is on the page because Oil-transport or export disruption can transmit through crude and refined-product prices, energy-producer cash flows, and oil-services activity

A second company, United States Gasoline Fund (UGA), is listed for a different reason: Oil-transport or export disruption can transmit through crude and refined-product prices, energy-producer cash flows, and oil-services activity

Dates and price levels for United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO)

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

How strong the case is around United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO)

46 out of 100

“What's behind Iran’s intensifying attacks on shipping in Hormuz?” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 16 linked companies.