Geopolitics Alpha

Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says

Published . Updated .

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Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • DAL Delta Air Lines

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO———————
INSW———————
DHT———————
TNK———————
USO———————
XLE———————
LMT———————
RTX———————
XOM———————
DAL———————

Source: CNBC Top

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is -3.57%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.66% over the same days, a -5.23% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -1.17%, a -2.40% difference versus that group of stocks.

ITA
SPY
XLI

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) filings in this defense story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

Companies carried with this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    For “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense

    For “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says,” Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AADX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace, defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • UFO Procure Trust Ii Space Etf

    For “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says,” Procure Trust Ii Space Etf (UFO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Security escalation can change defense, aerospace, surveillance, satellite, and military-space demand expectations

  • ARKX Ark Etf Tr

    For “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says,” Ark Etf Tr (ARKX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Security escalation can change defense, aerospace, surveillance, satellite, and military-space demand expectations

  • CDP Copt Defense Properties

    Copt Defense Properties (CDP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says.” Reason on file: GA selected CDP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FLY Firefly Aerospace

    For “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says,” Firefly Aerospace (FLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected FLY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GE General Electric

    General Electric (GE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says.” Reason on file: GA selected GE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the defense link

The 15 Sep 2026 story “Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says” names IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) because of Defense.

What ties IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to the headline is this: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Price levels for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

AADX traded between 10.31 and 13.08 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 10.82. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

The defense score for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

46 out of 100

“Iran war has cost Pentagon $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, CBO says” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 13 linked companies.