Geopolitics Alpha

Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War

Published . Updated .

Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War The American Conservative

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • DAL Delta Air Lines

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO-4.17%-5.40%—+5.54%+5.19%+0.27%-6.36%
INSW-2.70%-2.49%—+3.69%+4.30%-1.00%-5.62%
DHT-3.33%-3.73%—+6.49%+7.83%+1.26%-4.87%
TNK———————
USO———————
XLE———————
LMT-0.61%-2.04%—+0.48%-1.13%+2.44%+4.55%
RTX———————
XOM———————
DAL+1.16%+0.99%—-2.50%-3.18%-6.69%-4.98%

Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War The American Conservative

Source: The American Conservative

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +5.04%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a +6.51% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.92%, a +4.13% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
DALthat day-2.50%final price
DALthe next day-3.18%final price
DALtwo days later-6.69%final price
DALthree days later-4.98%final price
DALthree days earlier+0.99%final price
DALfive days earlier+1.16%final price
DHTthat day+6.49%final price
DHTthe next day+7.83%final price
DHTtwo days later+1.26%final price
DHTthree days later-4.87%final price
DHTthree days earlier-3.73%final price
DHTfive days earlier-3.33%final price
FROthat day+5.54%final price
FROthe next day+5.19%final price
FROtwo days later+0.27%final price
FROthree days later-6.36%final price
FROthree days earlier-5.40%final price
FROfive days earlier-4.17%final price
INSWthat day+3.69%final price
INSWthe next day+4.30%final price
INSWtwo days later-1.00%final price
INSWthree days later-5.62%final price
INSWthree days earlier-2.49%final price
INSWfive days earlier-2.70%final price
LMTthat day+0.48%final price
LMTthe next day-1.13%final price
LMTtwo days later+2.44%final price
LMTthree days later+4.55%final price
LMTthree days earlier-2.04%final price
LMTfive days earlier-0.61%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Official trades in United States Oil Fund (USO) around 12 Oct 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War.” Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    For “Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    For “Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BE Bloom Energy

    In “Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

“Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War” (12 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Also listed, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO): Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

What this energy story puts on the calendar

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Iran Wary Day 227: Oil Prices Climb as Trump Mulls Joining Yemen War” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.