Geopolitics Alpha

Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?

Published . Updated .

The use of the Pelican has provoked interest among military analysts as to whether it is a tactical ballistic missile.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when Russian supply is at risk

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • WEAT Teucrium Wheat

    Wheat prices rise when Black Sea grain is disrupted

  • MOS Mosaic

    Fertilizer makers move with Russian supply

  • CF CF Industries

    Fertilizer makers move with Russian supply

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
XLE———————
GD———————
ITA———————
USO———————
WEAT———————
MOS———————
CF———————

The use of the Pelican has provoked interest among military analysts as to whether it is a tactical ballistic missile.

Source: Al Jazeera World

The price since 21 Sep 2026: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is -3.02%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.88% over the same days, a -2.13% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -2.10%, a -0.92% difference versus that group of stocks.

ITA
SPY
XLI

Official trades in IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) around 21 Sep 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

Companies carried with this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    For “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense

    For “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?,” Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AADX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace, defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • UFO Procure Trust Ii Space Etf

    In “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?,” Procure Trust Ii Space Etf (UFO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Security escalation can change defense, aerospace, surveillance, satellite, and military-space demand expectations

  • ARKX Ark Etf Tr

    In “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?,” Ark Etf Tr (ARKX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Security escalation can change defense, aerospace, surveillance, satellite, and military-space demand expectations

  • CDP Copt Defense Properties

    For “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?,” Copt Defense Properties (CDP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected CDP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FLY Firefly Aerospace

    In “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?,” Firefly Aerospace (FLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected FLY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GE General Electric

    General Electric (GE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 21 Sep 2026 story “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?.” Reason on file: GA selected GE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the defense link

On 21 Sep 2026, “Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?” is the story that connects IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to Defense.

What ties IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to the headline is this: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is here too. Its reason reads: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Dates and price levels for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

AADX traded between 10.31 and 13.08 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 10.82. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

The defense score for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

46 out of 100

“Is it a missile? Is it a drone? What’s the Pelican used by Ukraine?” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 13 linked companies.