Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices
Published . Updated .
Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices The Hill
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- LMT Lockheed Martin
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- RTX RTX
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- NOC Northrop Grumman
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
Energy prices move when Russian supply is at risk
- GD General Dynamics
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense
A fund of aerospace and defense companies
- XOM Exxon Mobil
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- USO United States Oil Fund
This fund moves with oil prices
- WEAT Teucrium Wheat
Wheat prices rise when Black Sea grain is disrupted
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices The Hill
Source: The Hill
United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market
Since the first closing price after “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +5.04%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a +6.51% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.92%, a +4.13% difference versus that group of stocks.
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | that day | +1.43% | final price |
| CVX | the next day | +2.75% | final price |
| CVX | two days later | +4.76% | final price |
| CVX | three days later | +3.48% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -3.22% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -2.61% | final price |
| GD | that day | +1.14% | final price |
| GD | the next day | +0.35% | final price |
| GD | two days later | +0.99% | final price |
| GD | three days later | +1.70% | final price |
| GD | three days earlier | -1.46% | final price |
| GD | five days earlier | +0.12% | final price |
| ITA | that day | -0.28% | final price |
| ITA | the next day | -1.26% | final price |
| ITA | two days later | -1.17% | final price |
| ITA | three days later | +0.09% | final price |
| ITA | three days earlier | -1.47% | final price |
| ITA | five days earlier | +0.06% | final price |
| LMT | that day | +0.48% | final price |
| LMT | the next day | -1.13% | final price |
| LMT | two days later | +2.44% | final price |
| LMT | three days later | +4.55% | final price |
| LMT | three days earlier | -2.04% | final price |
| LMT | five days earlier | -0.61% | final price |
| NOC | that day | +0.86% | final price |
| NOC | the next day | +0.11% | final price |
| NOC | two days later | +3.08% | final price |
| NOC | three days later | +3.81% | final price |
| NOC | three days earlier | -1.50% | final price |
| NOC | five days earlier | -1.00% | final price |
Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)
Companies carried with this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- BNO United States Brent Oil Fund
For “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf
For “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- UGA United States Gasoline Fund
In “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
For “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund
For “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- MOO Vaneck Etf Trust
Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
On 12 Oct 2026, “Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.
For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
Also listed, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO): Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
What this energy story puts on the calendar
BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.
How solid the energy case looks
46 out of 100
“Oil analyst ‘skeptical’ that Trump’s diesel deal with Russia will lower prices” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 19 linked companies.