Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch
Published . Updated .
Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch FOREX.com
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XOM Exxon Mobil
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- OXY Occidental Petroleum
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- COP ConocoPhillips
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- VLO Valero
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- MPC Marathon Petroleum
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration
A fund of oil and gas producers
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
A fund of energy companies
- USO United States Oil Fund
This fund moves with oil prices
- OIH VanEck Oil Services
Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch FOREX.com
Source: FOREX.com
The price since 12 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500
Since the first closing price after “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +5.04%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a +6.51% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.92%, a +4.13% difference versus that group of stocks.
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COP | that day | +2.57% | final price |
| COP | the next day | +5.07% | final price |
| COP | two days later | +6.13% | final price |
| COP | three days later | +5.67% | final price |
| COP | three days earlier | -3.18% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -4.28% | final price |
| CVX | that day | +1.43% | final price |
| CVX | the next day | +2.75% | final price |
| CVX | two days later | +4.76% | final price |
| CVX | three days later | +3.48% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -3.22% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -2.61% | final price |
| MPC | that day | +0.99% | final price |
| MPC | the next day | +4.89% | final price |
| MPC | two days later | +6.56% | final price |
| MPC | three days later | +4.75% | final price |
| MPC | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| MPC | five days earlier | -4.71% | final price |
| OIH | that day | +0.08% | final price |
| OIH | the next day | +0.59% | final price |
| OIH | two days later | -1.55% | final price |
| OIH | three days later | -3.03% | final price |
| OIH | three days earlier | -1.76% | final price |
| OIH | five days earlier | +1.60% | final price |
| OXY | that day | +1.72% | final price |
| OXY | the next day | +2.59% | final price |
| OXY | two days later | +2.20% | final price |
| OXY | three days later | +0.96% | final price |
| OXY | three days earlier | -3.14% | final price |
| OXY | five days earlier | -2.97% | final price |
Filings that name United States Oil Fund (USO) around 12 Oct 2026
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who collects and who pays in energy
Companies tied to this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- BNO United States Brent Oil Fund
In “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf
In “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- AEIS Advanced Energy Industries
In “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- AMPY Amplify Energy
For “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- ATO Atmos Energy
In “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- BE Bloom Energy
For “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
“Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch” (12 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.
What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
A second company, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), is listed for a different reason: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)
BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.
How solid “Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch” looks
54 out of 100
“Oil, EUR/USD forecast: Two trades to watch” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 10 linked companies.