Geopolitics Alpha

Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict

Published . Updated .

Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict CNBC

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • MATX Matson

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • DAC Danaos

    Ship owners earn more when vessels are tied up longer

  • GSL Global Ship Lease

    Ship owners earn more when vessels are tied up longer

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • SBLK Star Bulk Carriers

    Dry-bulk carriers move with commodity shipping demand

  • GOGL Golden Ocean

    Dry-bulk carriers move with commodity shipping demand

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ZIM———————
MATX———————
DAC-1.90%+0.47%—-2.61%-4.21%-6.00%-6.72%
GSL+0.44%+0.38%—-0.12%-4.86%-7.24%-8.79%
LMT-0.43%-0.82%—-1.60%+1.95%+4.06%+7.83%
RTX———————
NOC———————
GD-1.12%-1.56%—-0.79%-0.15%+0.55%+2.69%
SBLK———————
GOGL+0.00%+0.00%—+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%

Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict CNBC

Source: CNBC

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved across the last 9 energy stories

United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day, across 9 earlier stories: average +3.26%, largest gain +3.26%, largest drop +3.26%, from 1 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+3.26%+3.26%+3.26%1
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+6.12%+6.12%+6.12%1
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+2.93%+3.24%+2.41%9
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later+3.34%+6.00%+2.27%9

The price since 13 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +4.67%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +5.06% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.27%, a +4.40% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
DACthat day-2.61%final price
DACthe next day-4.21%final price
DACtwo days later-6.00%final price
DACthree days later-6.72%final price
DACthree days earlier+0.47%final price
DACfive days earlier-1.90%final price
GDthat day-0.79%final price
GDthe next day-0.15%final price
GDtwo days later+0.55%final price
GDthree days later+2.69%final price
GDthree days earlier-1.56%final price
GDfive days earlier-1.12%final price
GOGLthat day0.00%final price
GOGLthe next day0.00%final price
GOGLtwo days later0.00%final price
GOGLthree days later0.00%final price
GOGLthree days earlier0.00%final price
GOGLfive days earlier0.00%final price
GSLthat day-0.12%final price
GSLthe next day-4.86%final price
GSLtwo days later-7.24%final price
GSLthree days later-8.79%final price
GSLthree days earlier+0.38%final price
GSLfive days earlier+0.44%final price
LMTthat day-1.60%final price
LMTthe next day+1.95%final price
LMTtwo days later+4.06%final price
LMTthree days later+7.83%final price
LMTthree days earlier-0.82%final price
LMTfive days earlier-0.43%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

The Red Sea count beside this story

Red Sea has 101 linked stories in the last 7 days and 101 in the last 30 on the page that also carries “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict.” The recent pace is rising.

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    In “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    In “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    In “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    In “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

How a Red Sea shock reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 13 Oct 2026, “Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Red Sea.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

A second company, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), is listed for a different reason: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Oil prices fall as traders assess Russian diesel supply prospects and Saudi-Houthi conflict” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 19 linked companies.