Geopolitics Alpha

Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms

Published . Updated .

Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms WSJ

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • DAL Delta Air Lines

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO-4.17%-5.40%—+5.54%+5.19%+0.27%-6.36%
INSW-2.70%-2.49%—+3.69%+4.30%-1.00%-5.62%
DHT-3.33%-3.73%—+6.49%+7.83%+1.26%-4.87%
TNK———————
USO———————
XLE———————
LMT-0.61%-2.04%—+0.48%-1.13%+2.44%+4.55%
RTX———————
XOM———————
DAL+1.16%+0.99%—-2.50%-3.18%-6.69%-4.98%

Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms WSJ

Source: The Wall Street Journal

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

Since the first closing price after “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +5.04%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a +6.51% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.92%, a +4.13% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
DALthat day-2.50%final price
DALthe next day-3.18%final price
DALtwo days later-6.69%final price
DALthree days later-4.98%final price
DALthree days earlier+0.99%final price
DALfive days earlier+1.16%final price
DHTthat day+6.49%final price
DHTthe next day+7.83%final price
DHTtwo days later+1.26%final price
DHTthree days later-4.87%final price
DHTthree days earlier-3.73%final price
DHTfive days earlier-3.33%final price
FROthat day+5.54%final price
FROthe next day+5.19%final price
FROtwo days later+0.27%final price
FROthree days later-6.36%final price
FROthree days earlier-5.40%final price
FROfive days earlier-4.17%final price
INSWthat day+3.69%final price
INSWthe next day+4.30%final price
INSWtwo days later-1.00%final price
INSWthree days later-5.62%final price
INSWthree days earlier-2.49%final price
INSWfive days earlier-2.70%final price
LMTthat day+0.48%final price
LMTthe next day-1.13%final price
LMTtwo days later+2.44%final price
LMTthree days later+4.55%final price
LMTthree days earlier-2.04%final price
LMTfive days earlier-0.61%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Official trades in United States Oil Fund (USO) around 12 Oct 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    In “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms.” Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms.” Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BE Bloom Energy

    Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms.” Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 12 Oct 2026, “Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is here too. Its reason reads: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Oil Prices Steady After Trump Appears to Rule Out Iran Strikes Before Midterms” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.