Geopolitics Alpha

Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls

Published . Updated .

The department revealed that the Iran war had cost an estimated $33.4 billion as of June 29.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • DAL Delta Air Lines

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO———————
INSW———————
DHT———————
TNK———————
USO———————
XLE———————
LMT———————
RTX———————
XOM———————
DAL———————

Price since this story was published: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

Since the first closing price after “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is -3.57%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.66% over the same days, a -5.23% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -1.17%, a -2.40% difference versus that group of stocks.

ITA
SPY
XLI

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) filings in this defense story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

Companies tied to this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    In “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense

    For “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls,” Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AADX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace, defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • CDP Copt Defense Properties

    In “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls,” Copt Defense Properties (CDP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected CDP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FLY Firefly Aerospace

    In “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls,” Firefly Aerospace (FLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected FLY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GE General Electric

    For “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls,” General Electric (GE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected GE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • HWM Howmet Aerospace

    For “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls,” Howmet Aerospace (HWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected HWM as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions

    For “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls,” Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected KTOS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the defense link

The 15 Sep 2026 story “Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls” names IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) because of Defense.

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is on the page because Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

The price range for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), and the dates in the story

AADX traded between 10.31 and 13.08 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 10.82. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

How strong the case is around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

100 out of 100

“Pentagon reveals $33.4 billion Iran war bill and ‘strategic’ weapons shortfalls” scores 100 out of 100. The score uses 11 linked companies.