Geopolitics Alpha

Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks

Published . Updated .

Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks WSJ

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF-0.35%+0.01%—+0.12%+0.30%+1.02%+1.10%
SHY———————
SPY———————
XOM———————
CVX-3.45%-1.61%—+1.30%+3.29%+2.02%+4.63%
JPM-0.96%-0.92%—-0.91%+0.22%+0.29%+1.53%
BAC-0.84%-1.80%—-1.14%-5.79%-5.30%-6.13%
GS+0.35%-1.38%—-0.25%-1.74%-0.35%-1.54%
XLF———————

Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks WSJ

Source: The Wall Street Journal

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

Since the first closing price after “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +4.67%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +5.06% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.27%, a +4.40% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)that day-1.14%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)the next day-5.79%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)two days later-5.30%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)three days later-6.13%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier-1.80%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier-0.84%final price
CVXthat day+1.30%final price
CVXthe next day+3.29%final price
CVXtwo days later+2.02%final price
CVXthree days later+4.63%final price
CVXthree days earlier-1.61%final price
CVXfive days earlier-3.45%final price
GSthat day-0.25%final price
GSthe next day-1.74%final price
GStwo days later-0.35%final price
GSthree days later-1.54%final price
GSthree days earlier-1.38%final price
GSfive days earlier+0.35%final price
IEFthat day+0.12%final price
IEFthe next day+0.30%final price
IEFtwo days later+1.02%final price
IEFthree days later+1.10%final price
IEFthree days earlier+0.01%final price
IEFfive days earlier-0.35%final price
JPMthat day-0.91%final price
JPMthe next day+0.22%final price
JPMtwo days later+0.29%final price
JPMthree days later+1.53%final price
JPMthree days earlier-0.92%final price
JPMfive days earlier-0.96%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Official trades in United States Oil Fund (USO) around 13 Oct 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    In “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ALLY Ally Financial

    For “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks,” Ally Financial (ALLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ALLY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks.” Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    For “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

The 13 Oct 2026 story “Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is here too. Its reason reads: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.