Geopolitics Alpha

Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices

Published . Updated .

November WTI crude oil (CLX26 ) closed up +1.04 (+1.16%) on Wednesday, and November RBOB gasoline (RBX26 ) closed up +0.1282 (+4.09%). Crude oil and gasoline prices rallied sharply on Wednesday after Russia extended its diesel export ban, further tightening the global market. Also, attacks on vessels transiting the Strait...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when Russian supply is at risk

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • WEAT Teucrium Wheat

    Wheat prices rise when Black Sea grain is disrupted

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
XLE———————
GD———————
ITA———————
XOM———————
CVX———————
USO———————
WEAT———————

November WTI crude oil (CLX26 ) closed up +1.04 (+1.16%) on Wednesday, and November RBOB gasoline (RBX26 ) closed up +0.1282 (+4.09%). Crude oil and gasoline prices rallied sharply on Wednesday after Russia extended its diesel export ban,…

Source: Nasdaq Markets

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +7.14%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.33% over the same days, a +6.81% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +8.15%, a -1.02% difference versus that group of stocks.

USO
SPY
XLE

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 30 Sep 2026 story “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Sep 2026 story “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    For “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices,” the 30 Sep 2026 Energy story.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is here too. Its reason reads: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Shrinking Gasoline and Diesel Supplies Lifts Crude Oil Prices” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 19 linked companies.