Geopolitics Alpha

Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks

Published . Updated .

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is up by +0.93% today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.39%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.97%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ26 ) are up +1.00%, and December E-mini...

Directly affected

  • NDAQ Nasdaq

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • COP ConocoPhillips

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of industrial companies

  • CAT Caterpillar

    A large machinery maker

  • VLO Valero

    Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices

  • XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration

    A fund of oil and gas producers

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of energy companies

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
NDAQ———————
XOM———————
CVX———————
OXY———————
COP———————
XLI———————
CAT———————
VLO———————
MPC———————
XOP———————
XLE———————

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is up by +0.93% today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.39%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.97%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ26 ) are up +1.00%, and Decemb…

Source: Nasdaq Markets

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 21 Sep 2026

Since the first closing price after “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +11.62%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.88% over the same days, a +12.50% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +9.77%, a +1.85% difference versus that group of stocks.

USO
SPY
XLE

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies mentioned with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    For “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 21 Sep 2026 story “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 21 Sep 2026 story “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XME Spdr Series Trust

    For “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks,” Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 21 Sep 2026 story “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

The 21 Sep 2026 story “Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

A second company, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), is listed for a different reason: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Stocks and Bonds Climb as Slumping Crude Prices Ease Inflation Risks” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 19 linked companies.