Geopolitics Alpha

Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes

Published . Updated .

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) closed up by +0.51% on Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up by +0.93%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.42%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ26 ) rose +0.47%, and December E-mini...

Directly affected

  • NDAQ Nasdaq

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of industrial companies

  • DAL Delta Air Lines

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
NDAQ———————
FRO———————
INSW———————
DHT———————
TNK———————
USO———————
XLE———————
XOM———————
CVX———————
XLI———————
DAL———————

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) closed up by +0.51% on Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up by +0.93%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.42%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ26 ) rose +0.4…

Source: Nasdaq Markets

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 25 Sep 2026

Since the first closing price after “Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +7.21%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.15% over the same days, a +7.06% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +9.14%, a -1.94% difference versus that group of stocks.

USO
SPY
XLE

Official trades in United States Oil Fund (USO) around 25 Sep 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 25 Sep 2026 story “Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    In “Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    In “Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    For “Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    For “Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BE Bloom Energy

    Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 25 Sep 2026 story “Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes.” Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

“Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes” (25 Sep 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

What this energy story puts on the calendar

USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80. XOP traded between 177.09 and 202.25 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 199.52.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Stocks Settle Higher as Crude Prices Fall on US-Iran Deal Hopes” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.