Geopolitics Alpha

Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish

Published . Updated .

Stocks came under pressure last week as surging oil prices and bond yields stoked renewed concerns about inflation and the Fed's next move.

Directly affected

  • BLSH Bullish

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • COP ConocoPhillips

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • VLO Valero

    Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices

  • XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration

    A fund of oil and gas producers

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of energy companies

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • OIH VanEck Oil Services

    Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
BLSH———————
XOM———————
CVX———————
OXY———————
COP———————
VLO———————
MPC———————
XOP———————
XLE———————
USO———————
OIH———————

Stocks came under pressure last week as surging oil prices and bond yields stoked renewed concerns about inflation and the Fed's next move.

Source: CNBC Top

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +2.66%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.77% over the same days, a +1.89% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +5.05%, a -2.39% difference versus that group of stocks.

USO
SPY
XLE

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Sep 2026 story “Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    For “Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Sep 2026 story “Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    For “Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish” (12 Sep 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Also listed, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO): Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Stocks stumble on inflation fears, but 2 of our names give us reasons to stay bullish” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 19 linked companies.