The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices
Published . Updated .
Also: How to use options around earnings to trade Nike’s stock, which has been down in the dumps for years.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XOM Exxon Mobil
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- OXY Occidental Petroleum
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- COP ConocoPhillips
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- VLO Valero
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- MPC Marathon Petroleum
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration
A fund of oil and gas producers
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
A fund of energy companies
- USO United States Oil Fund
This fund moves with oil prices
- OIH VanEck Oil Services
Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
Also: How to use options around earnings to trade Nike’s stock, which has been down in the dumps for years.
Source: MarketWatch
Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)
Since the first closing price after “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +7.21%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.15% over the same days, a +7.06% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +9.14%, a -1.94% difference versus that group of stocks.
Disclosure records for United States Oil Fund (USO) within two months of 25 Sep 2026
- Gilbert Cisneros buy Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) ($1,001 - $15,000). That is 4 days after publication, inside 30 days. The filing is listed beside the story “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices.”
- Nancy Pelosi buy Bloom Energy (BE) ($500,001 - $1,000,000). That is 59 days before publication, inside 60 days. The filing is listed beside the story “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices.”
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)
Companies carried with this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- BNO United States Brent Oil Fund
For “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf
For “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- AEIS Advanced Energy Industries
For “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- AMPY Amplify Energy
In “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- ATO Atmos Energy
In “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- BE Bloom Energy
In “The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
“The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices” (25 Sep 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.
What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is here too. Its reason reads: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story
BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.
What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“The options market is sending a contrarian signal about oil prices” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.