Geopolitics Alpha

The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China

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The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China The China-Global South Project

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • STNG Scorpio Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DAL Delta Air Lines

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO———————
INSW———————
DHT———————
TNK———————
USO———————
XLE———————
XOM———————
CVX-3.45%-1.61%—+1.30%+3.29%+2.02%+4.63%
STNG———————
DAL———————

The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China The China-Global South Project

Source: The China-Global South Project

The price since 12 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +5.04%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a +6.51% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.92%, a +4.13% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
COPthat day+2.44%final price
COPthe next day+3.47%final price
COPtwo days later+3.03%final price
COPthree days later+6.51%final price
COPthree days earlier-2.44%final price
COPfive days earlier-5.98%final price
CVXthat day+1.30%final price
CVXthe next day+3.29%final price
CVXtwo days later+2.02%final price
CVXthree days later+4.63%final price
CVXthree days earlier-1.61%final price
CVXfive days earlier-3.45%final price
MPCthat day+3.86%final price
MPCthe next day+5.51%final price
MPCtwo days later+3.72%final price
MPCthree days later+4.08%final price
MPCthree days earlier+0.92%final price
MPCfive days earlier-5.88%final price
OIHthat day+0.51%final price
OIHthe next day-1.62%final price
OIHtwo days later-3.10%final price
OIHthree days later-1.60%final price
OIHthree days earlier-0.38%final price
OIHfive days earlier+0.75%final price
OXYthat day+0.85%final price
OXYthe next day+0.47%final price
OXYtwo days later-0.75%final price
OXYthree days later+2.06%final price
OXYthree days earlier-1.39%final price
OXYfive days earlier-4.58%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Who reported a United States Oil Fund (USO) trade near this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    For “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    For “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    For “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    In “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BE Bloom Energy

    In “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

How “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

The 12 Oct 2026 story “The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is here too. Its reason reads: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

What this energy story puts on the calendar

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“The Single Customer: Who Governs Iran’s Oil Trade with China” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.