Geopolitics Alpha

There's an election next month: State of Crypto

Published . Updated .

Congress is gone from Washington for the final pre-election recess, and it's time to take stock of what's going on ahead of November.

Directly affected

  • CRCW Crypto

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust

    This price moves with the crypto market

  • COIN Coinbase

    The crypto exchange moves with trading volumes

  • MSTR Strategy

    This company's value is tied to its bitcoin holdings

  • MARA MARA Holdings

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • RIOT Riot Platforms

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • HOOD Robinhood

    Retail trading apps move with crypto volumes

  • KBE SPDR SER TR STATE STREET SPDR S&P BK ETF

    GA selected KBE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: state. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • XHB STATE STREET SPDR S&P HOMEBUILDERS ETF

    GA selected XHB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: state. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • XOP STATE STREET SPDR S&P OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION ETF

    GA selected XOP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: state. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • BITW BITWISE 10 CRYPTO INDEX ETF SHS REPSTG UNIT BEN INT

    GA selected BITW as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: crypto. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRCW———————
IBIT———————
COIN———————
MSTR———————
MARA———————
RIOT———————
HOOD———————
KBE———————
XHB———————
XOP———————
BITW———————

Congress is gone from Washington for the final pre-election recess, and it's time to take stock of what's going on ahead of November.

Source: CoinDesk

How far Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf (KBE) has moved since 4 Oct 2026

Since the first closing price after “There's an election next month: State of Crypto,” Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf (KBE) is -1.54%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.08% over the same days, a -0.46% difference versus the market.

KBE
SPY

Who gains and who loses around Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf (KBE)

Companies carried with this story

  • KBE Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf

    In “There's an election next month: State of Crypto,” Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf (KBE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected KBE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: state. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • SPY Spdr S&P 500 Etf Trust

    For “There's an election next month: State of Crypto,” Spdr S&P 500 Etf Trust (SPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected SPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: state. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • XHB State Street Spdr S&P Homebuilders Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Homebuilders Etf (XHB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Oct 2026 story “There's an election next month: State of Crypto.” Reason on file: GA selected XHB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: state. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Oct 2026 story “There's an election next month: State of Crypto.” Reason on file: GA selected XOP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: state. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BITW Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF

    For “There's an election next month: State of Crypto,” Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF (BITW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BITW as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: crypto. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BLOX Nicholas Crypto Income Etf

    For “There's an election next month: State of Crypto,” Nicholas Crypto Income Etf (BLOX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BLOX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: crypto. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

How “There's an election next month: State of Crypto” reaches Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf (KBE)

Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf (KBE) is the company in “There's an election next month: State of Crypto,” the 4 Oct 2026 this story story.

Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf (KBE) is on the page because GA selected KBE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: state. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Spdr S&P 500 Etf Trust (SPY) is here too. Its reason reads: GA selected SPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: state. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Dates and price levels for Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf (KBE)

KBE traded between 61.81 and 66.63 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 63.14. SPY traded between 758.80 and 781.59 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 766.60. XHB traded between 91.93 and 99.68 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 94.11.

What the saved facts support for Spdr Ser Tr State Street Spdr S&P Bk Etf (KBE)

46 out of 100

“There's an election next month: State of Crypto” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.