Geopolitics Alpha

Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’

Published . Updated .

Ukrainian president earlier rejected US call for Kyiv to stop bombing oil refineries, saying Moscow must first end attacks on energy infrastructure Donald Trump has announced an energy ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia, apparently without consulting Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who said the deal to stop long-range attacks was “news to me”. In a social media post, the US president claimed the two sides had reached an agreement. “Effective immediately, there is an ENERGY CEASEFIRE in the War between Russia and Ukraine. Both parties have agreed. Do not break it!” he wrote on Truth Social. Continue reading...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when Russian supply is at risk

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • WEAT Teucrium Wheat

    Wheat prices rise when Black Sea grain is disrupted

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
XLE———————
GD———————
ITA———————
XOM———————
CVX———————
USO———————
WEAT———————

Ukrainian president earlier rejected US call for Kyiv to stop bombing oil refineries, saying Moscow must first end attacks on energy infrastructure US politics – live updates Donald Trump has announced an energy ceasefire between Ukraine a…

Source: The Guardian

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +6.44%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a +7.91% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +2.70%, a +3.74% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS)that day-2.66%final price
Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS)the next day-4.51%final price
Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS)two days later-9.69%final price
Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS)three days later-12.66%final price
Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS)three days earlier+1.28%final price
Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS)five days earlier+3.10%final price
Amplify Energy (AMPY)that day+1.01%final price
Amplify Energy (AMPY)the next day+3.13%final price
Amplify Energy (AMPY)two days later-2.68%final price
Amplify Energy (AMPY)three days later-2.68%final price
Amplify Energy (AMPY)three days earlier-0.22%final price
Amplify Energy (AMPY)five days earlier-0.89%final price
Atmos Energy (ATO)that day+0.47%final price
Atmos Energy (ATO)the next day+1.10%final price
Atmos Energy (ATO)two days later+1.43%final price
Atmos Energy (ATO)three days later+1.39%final price
Atmos Energy (ATO)three days earlier-1.53%final price
Atmos Energy (ATO)five days earlier-2.24%final price
Bloom Energy (BE)that day-6.35%final price
Bloom Energy (BE)the next day-5.98%final price
Bloom Energy (BE)two days later-14.60%final price
Bloom Energy (BE)three days later-15.67%final price
Bloom Energy (BE)three days earlier+3.94%final price
Bloom Energy (BE)five days earlier+2.26%final price
United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO)that day+1.77%final price
United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO)the next day+1.77%final price
United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO)two days later+1.69%final price
United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO)three days later+1.38%final price
United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO)three days earlier-3.24%final price
United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO)five days earlier-3.94%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

United States Oil Fund (USO) filings in this energy story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BE Bloom Energy

    For “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    In “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’.” Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    For “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’,” the 11 Oct 2026 Energy story.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is here too. Its reason reads: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Trump announces partial ceasefire in Ukraine war as Zelenskyy says deal is ‘news to me’” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.