Geopolitics Alpha

Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections

Published . Updated .

Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections Reuters

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • MATX Matson

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • DAC Danaos

    Ship owners earn more when vessels are tied up longer

  • GSL Global Ship Lease

    Ship owners earn more when vessels are tied up longer

  • SBLK Star Bulk Carriers

    Dry-bulk carriers move with commodity shipping demand

  • GOGL Golden Ocean

    Dry-bulk carriers move with commodity shipping demand

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • FRO Frontline

    Longer voyages raise tanker earnings when ships avoid the Red Sea

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when a shipping lane is disrupted

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ZIM———————
MATX———————
DAC-1.90%+0.47%—-2.61%-4.21%-6.00%-6.72%
GSL+0.44%+0.38%—-0.12%-4.86%-7.24%-8.79%
SBLK———————
GOGL+0.00%+0.00%—+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%
XOM———————
CVX-3.45%-1.61%—+1.30%+3.29%+2.02%+4.63%
FRO-10.86%-5.02%—-0.34%-5.00%-11.28%-11.40%
XLE———————

Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections Reuters

Source: Reuters

What happened to United States Oil Fund (USO) the last 13 times Red Sea was in the news

Across 13 earlier stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day averaged +3.26%. The largest gain was +3.26% and the largest drop was +3.26%, from 1 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+3.26%+3.26%+3.26%1
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+6.12%+6.12%+6.12%1
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+2.77%+3.24%+2.41%13
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later+3.34%+6.00%+2.27%13

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 13 Oct 2026

Since the first closing price after “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +4.67%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +5.06% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.27%, a +4.40% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthat day+1.30%final price
CVXthe next day+3.29%final price
CVXtwo days later+2.02%final price
CVXthree days later+4.63%final price
CVXthree days earlier-1.61%final price
CVXfive days earlier-3.45%final price
DACthat day-2.61%final price
DACthe next day-4.21%final price
DACtwo days later-6.00%final price
DACthree days later-6.72%final price
DACthree days earlier+0.47%final price
DACfive days earlier-1.90%final price
FROthat day-0.34%final price
FROthe next day-5.00%final price
FROtwo days later-11.28%final price
FROthree days later-11.40%final price
FROthree days earlier-5.02%final price
FROfive days earlier-10.86%final price
GOGLthat day0.00%final price
GOGLthe next day0.00%final price
GOGLtwo days later0.00%final price
GOGLthree days later0.00%final price
GOGLthree days earlier0.00%final price
GOGLfive days earlier0.00%final price
GSLthat day-0.12%final price
GSLthe next day-4.86%final price
GSLtwo days later-7.24%final price
GSLthree days later-8.79%final price
GSLthree days earlier+0.38%final price
GSLfive days earlier+0.44%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Official trades in United States Oil Fund (USO) around 13 Oct 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Where this story sits: Red Sea

Red Sea has 101 linked stories in the last 7 days and 101 in the last 30 on the page that also carries “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections.” The recent pace is rising.

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    In “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections.” Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    In “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    In “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BE Bloom Energy

    In “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections,” the 13 Oct 2026 Red Sea story.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Also listed, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO): Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Trump says Houthis trying to drive up oil prices ahead of US midterm elections” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.