Geopolitics Alpha

Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections

Published . Updated .

Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections Al Jazeera

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • MATX Matson

    Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted

  • DAC Danaos

    Ship owners earn more when vessels are tied up longer

  • GSL Global Ship Lease

    Ship owners earn more when vessels are tied up longer

  • SBLK Star Bulk Carriers

    Dry-bulk carriers move with commodity shipping demand

  • GOGL Golden Ocean

    Dry-bulk carriers move with commodity shipping demand

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • FRO Frontline

    Longer voyages raise tanker earnings when ships avoid the Red Sea

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when a shipping lane is disrupted

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ZIM———————
MATX———————
DAC-1.90%+0.47%—-2.61%-4.21%-6.00%-6.72%
GSL+0.44%+0.38%—-0.12%-4.86%-7.24%-8.79%
SBLK———————
GOGL+0.00%+0.00%—+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%+0.00%
XOM———————
CVX-3.45%-1.61%—+1.30%+3.29%+2.02%+4.63%
FRO-10.86%-5.02%—-0.34%-5.00%-11.28%-11.40%
XLE———————

Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections Al Jazeera

Source: Al Jazeera

14 earlier Red Sea stories for United States Oil Fund (USO)

In the last 14 similar stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) moved an average of +3.26% the next day. The best was +3.26% and the worst was +3.26%, from 1 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+3.26%+3.26%+3.26%1
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+6.12%+6.12%+6.12%1
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+2.50%+3.24%-0.95%14
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later+3.17%+6.00%+0.92%14

The price since 13 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +4.67%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +5.06% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.27%, a +4.40% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthat day+1.30%final price
CVXthe next day+3.29%final price
CVXtwo days later+2.02%final price
CVXthree days later+4.63%final price
CVXthree days earlier-1.61%final price
CVXfive days earlier-3.45%final price
DACthat day-2.61%final price
DACthe next day-4.21%final price
DACtwo days later-6.00%final price
DACthree days later-6.72%final price
DACthree days earlier+0.47%final price
DACfive days earlier-1.90%final price
FROthat day-0.34%final price
FROthe next day-5.00%final price
FROtwo days later-11.28%final price
FROthree days later-11.40%final price
FROthree days earlier-5.02%final price
FROfive days earlier-10.86%final price
GOGLthat day0.00%final price
GOGLthe next day0.00%final price
GOGLtwo days later0.00%final price
GOGLthree days later0.00%final price
GOGLthree days earlier0.00%final price
GOGLfive days earlier0.00%final price
GSLthat day-0.12%final price
GSLthe next day-4.86%final price
GSLtwo days later-7.24%final price
GSLthree days later-8.79%final price
GSLthree days earlier+0.38%final price
GSLfive days earlier+0.44%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Who reported a United States Oil Fund (USO) trade near this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Where this story sits: Red Sea

Red Sea has 101 linked stories in the last 7 days and 101 in the last 30 on the page that also carries “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections.” The recent pace is rising.

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    In “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    In “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections.” Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections.” Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    In “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BE Bloom Energy

    Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections.” Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

“Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections” (13 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Red Sea.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

A second company, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), is listed for a different reason: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

What this energy story puts on the calendar

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Trump says Houthis trying to increase oil prices before US elections” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.