Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk
Published . Updated .
Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk Bloomberg.com
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XOM Exxon Mobil
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- OXY Occidental Petroleum
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- COP ConocoPhillips
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- VLO Valero
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- MPC Marathon Petroleum
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration
A fund of oil and gas producers
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
A fund of energy companies
- USO United States Oil Fund
This fund moves with oil prices
- OIH VanEck Oil Services
Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk Bloomberg.com
Source: Bloomberg
The price since 12 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500
Since the first closing price after “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +5.04%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a +6.51% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.92%, a +4.13% difference versus that group of stocks.
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COP | that day | +2.57% | final price |
| COP | the next day | +5.07% | final price |
| COP | two days later | +6.13% | final price |
| COP | three days later | +5.67% | final price |
| COP | three days earlier | -3.18% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -4.28% | final price |
| CVX | that day | +1.43% | final price |
| CVX | the next day | +2.75% | final price |
| CVX | two days later | +4.76% | final price |
| CVX | three days later | +3.48% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -3.22% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -2.61% | final price |
| MPC | that day | +0.99% | final price |
| MPC | the next day | +4.89% | final price |
| MPC | two days later | +6.56% | final price |
| MPC | three days later | +4.75% | final price |
| MPC | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| MPC | five days earlier | -4.71% | final price |
| OIH | that day | +0.08% | final price |
| OIH | the next day | +0.59% | final price |
| OIH | two days later | -1.55% | final price |
| OIH | three days later | -3.03% | final price |
| OIH | three days earlier | -1.76% | final price |
| OIH | five days earlier | +1.60% | final price |
| OXY | that day | +1.72% | final price |
| OXY | the next day | +2.59% | final price |
| OXY | two days later | +2.20% | final price |
| OXY | three days later | +0.96% | final price |
| OXY | three days earlier | -3.14% | final price |
| OXY | five days earlier | -2.97% | final price |
Official trades in United States Oil Fund (USO) around 12 Oct 2026
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who is named in “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk”
Companies mentioned with this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- BNO United States Brent Oil Fund
In “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf
For “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- AEIS Advanced Energy Industries
Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk.” Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- BE Bloom Energy
For “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- BTE Baytex Energy
In “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk,” Baytex Energy (BTE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BTE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- AMPY Amplify Energy
In “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk,” the 12 Oct 2026 Energy story.
For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
Also listed, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO): Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)
BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.
What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“Watch McNally: Oil Market Underappreciates Geopolitical Risk” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.