Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place
Published . Updated .
Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place Bloomberg.com
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XOM Exxon Mobil
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- OXY Occidental Petroleum
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- COP ConocoPhillips
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- VLO Valero
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- MPC Marathon Petroleum
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration
A fund of oil and gas producers
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
A fund of energy companies
- USO United States Oil Fund
This fund moves with oil prices
- OIH VanEck Oil Services
Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place Bloomberg.com
Source: Bloomberg
The price since 13 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500
Since the first closing price after “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +4.67%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +5.06% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.27%, a +4.40% difference versus that group of stocks.
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COP | that day | +2.44% | final price |
| COP | the next day | +3.47% | final price |
| COP | two days later | +3.03% | final price |
| COP | three days later | +6.51% | final price |
| COP | three days earlier | -2.44% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -5.98% | final price |
| CVX | that day | +1.30% | final price |
| CVX | the next day | +3.29% | final price |
| CVX | two days later | +2.02% | final price |
| CVX | three days later | +4.63% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -1.61% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -3.45% | final price |
| MPC | that day | +3.86% | final price |
| MPC | the next day | +5.51% | final price |
| MPC | two days later | +3.72% | final price |
| MPC | three days later | +4.08% | final price |
| MPC | three days earlier | +0.92% | final price |
| MPC | five days earlier | -5.88% | final price |
| OIH | that day | +0.51% | final price |
| OIH | the next day | -1.62% | final price |
| OIH | two days later | -3.10% | final price |
| OIH | three days later | -1.60% | final price |
| OIH | three days earlier | -0.38% | final price |
| OIH | five days earlier | +0.75% | final price |
| OXY | that day | +0.85% | final price |
| OXY | the next day | +0.47% | final price |
| OXY | two days later | -0.75% | final price |
| OXY | three days later | +2.06% | final price |
| OXY | three days earlier | -1.39% | final price |
| OXY | five days earlier | -4.58% | final price |
Who reported a United States Oil Fund (USO) trade near this story
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Middle East on the map for this story
Middle East has 0 linked stories in the last 7 days and 0 in the last 30 on the page that also carries “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place.”
Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)
Companies mentioned with this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- BNO United States Brent Oil Fund
For “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf
In “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
- AEIS Advanced Energy Industries
For “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- AMPY Amplify Energy
In “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- ATO Atmos Energy
For “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- BE Bloom Energy
For “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
How a Middle East shock reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place,” the 13 Oct 2026 Middle East story.
What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
A second company, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), is listed for a different reason: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations
Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)
BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.
How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“Watch Wald: Middle East Risks Keep Oil’s Risk Premium in Place” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.