Geopolitics Alpha

Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue

Published . Updated .

Ukrainian leader says he was surprised by Trump’s ‘energy ceasefire’ announcement, posted as Russian drones hit Kyiv Europe live – latest updates Volodymyr Zelenskyy has vowed to respond to Russia’s continuing attacks on the Ukrainian power grid as European leaders rally around Kyiv amid a feud with Donald Trump over Ukraine’s strikes on oil refineries. Speaking to a gathering of European security officials in Warsaw on Monday, the Ukrainian president said Kyiv would retaliate if strikes on its power grid continued: “If Russia does not agree to an energy ceasefire this winter, we will respond.” Continue reading...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when Russian supply is at risk

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • WEAT Teucrium Wheat

    Wheat prices rise when Black Sea grain is disrupted

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT-0.61%-2.04%—+0.48%-1.13%+2.44%+4.55%
RTX———————
NOC-1.00%-1.50%—+0.86%+0.11%+3.08%+3.81%
XLE———————
GD+0.12%-1.46%—+1.14%+0.35%+0.99%+1.70%
ITA+0.06%-1.47%—-0.28%-1.26%-1.17%+0.09%
XOM———————
CVX-2.61%-3.22%—+1.43%+2.75%+4.76%+3.48%
USO———————
WEAT———————

Ukrainian president says at Warsaw summit Trump’s ‘energy ceasefire’ post, as Kyiv struck by Russian drones, ‘surprised’ him Europe live – latest updates Volodymyr Zelenskyy has vowed to respond to Russia’s continuing attacks on the Ukrain…

Source: The Guardian

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 12 Oct 2026

Since the first closing price after “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +5.04%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a +6.51% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.92%, a +4.13% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthat day+1.43%final price
CVXthe next day+2.75%final price
CVXtwo days later+4.76%final price
CVXthree days later+3.48%final price
CVXthree days earlier-3.22%final price
CVXfive days earlier-2.61%final price
GDthat day+1.14%final price
GDthe next day+0.35%final price
GDtwo days later+0.99%final price
GDthree days later+1.70%final price
GDthree days earlier-1.46%final price
GDfive days earlier+0.12%final price
ITAthat day-0.28%final price
ITAthe next day-1.26%final price
ITAtwo days later-1.17%final price
ITAthree days later+0.09%final price
ITAthree days earlier-1.47%final price
ITAfive days earlier+0.06%final price
LMTthat day+0.48%final price
LMTthe next day-1.13%final price
LMTtwo days later+2.44%final price
LMTthree days later+4.55%final price
LMTthree days earlier-2.04%final price
LMTfive days earlier-0.61%final price
NOCthat day+0.86%final price
NOCthe next day+0.11%final price
NOCtwo days later+3.08%final price
NOCthree days later+3.81%final price
NOCthree days earlier-1.50%final price
NOCfive days earlier-1.00%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Official trades in United States Oil Fund (USO) around 12 Oct 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    For “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AQN Algonquin Power & Utilities

    For “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue,” Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AQN as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: utilities, power. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    In “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    For “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    For “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

The 12 Oct 2026 story “Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

A second company, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), is listed for a different reason: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 11 linked companies.