THREE PUBLIC TRANSMISSION GRAPHS Worked historical cases These are retrospective reconstructions—not signals Geopolitics Alpha emitted at the time. They demonstrate how the evidence chain is displayed; they do not establish predictive performance.
01 · PRIMARY SOURCE CrowdStrike Preliminary Post Incident Review CrowdStrike says a Falcon content configuration update was released at 04:09 UTC and reverted at 05:27 UTC.
OPEN OFFICIAL RECORD ↗ 02 · EVENT A defective content update caused widespread Windows host crashes.
03 · LABELED INFERENCE Direct issuer and operational continuity exposure
04 · INSTRUMENT CrowdStrike Holdings · CRWD
PRIOR CLOSE $85.76 2024-07-18
FIRST SESSION CLOSE $76.24 -11.10% from prior close
FIFTH SESSION CLOSE $63.54 -25.91% from prior close
PROVIDER Yahoo Finance chart Unadjusted daily close context
Historical reconstruction using the issuer's later incident review. Geopolitics Alpha did not emit this signal in 2024. Market movement does not prove that the event caused the move. 01 · PRIMARY SOURCE Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation The FDIC announced Silicon Valley Bank's closure and its appointment as receiver on March 10, 2023.
OPEN OFFICIAL RECORD ↗ 02 · EVENT A large technology-focused bank failed and entered receivership.
03 · LABELED INFERENCE Regional-bank peer and funding-risk context
04 · INSTRUMENT SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF · KRE
PRIOR CLOSE $53.02 2023-03-09
FIRST SESSION CLOSE $50.69 -4.39% from prior close
FIFTH SESSION CLOSE $46.21 -12.84% from prior close
PROVIDER Yahoo Finance chart Unadjusted daily close context
KRE is an inferred contextual instrument, not the failed bank's stock. Historical reconstruction; no 2023 Geopolitics Alpha signal existed. Market movement does not prove that the event caused the move. 01 · PRIMARY SOURCE NVIDIA Form 8-K filed with the SEC NVIDIA disclosed that the U.S. government required a license for H20 exports to China and identified an expected charge of up to $5.5 billion.
OPEN OFFICIAL RECORD ↗ 02 · EVENT A new export-control requirement constrained a China-focused AI accelerator.
03 · LABELED INFERENCE Direct issuer, export-control and semiconductor revenue exposure
04 · INSTRUMENT NVIDIA Corporation · NVDA
PRIOR CLOSE $110.71 2025-04-14
FIRST SESSION CLOSE $112.20 +1.35% from prior close
FIFTH SESSION CLOSE $98.89 -10.68% from prior close
PROVIDER Yahoo Finance chart Unadjusted daily close context
Historical reconstruction anchored to the public SEC filing, not a contemporaneous Geopolitics Alpha signal. Market movement does not prove that the event caused the move.