A Tokyo Drifter’s Catalog of Crude Coincidences
Published . Updated .
This report is about Energy. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because oil producers earn more when crude prices rise.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XOM Exxon Mobil+7.9%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron+5.9%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- OXY Occidental Petroleum+1.1%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- COP ConocoPhillips+8.5%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- VLO Valero+11.4%
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- MPC Marathon Petroleum+10.2%
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration+1.7%
A fund of oil and gas producers
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+3.8%
A fund of energy companies
- USO United States Oil Fund+4.9%
This fund moves with oil prices
- OIH VanEck Oil Services-6.2%
Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | -2.72% | -2.80% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -3.81% | -2.83% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| OXY | -2.24% | -2.28% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COP | -3.71% | -3.41% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| VLO | +3.47% | +4.29% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| MPC | +4.00% | +2.83% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOP | -1.08% | -1.30% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -2.18% | -1.67% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | -5.10% | -5.75% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| OIH | -2.98% | -0.87% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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A Tokyo Drifter’s Catalog of Crude Coincidences Aperture
Source: Aperture
Energy
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COP | three days earlier | -3.41% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -3.71% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.83% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -3.81% | final price |
| MPC | three days earlier | +2.83% | final price |
| MPC | five days earlier | +4.00% | final price |
| OIH | three days earlier | -0.87% | final price |
| OIH | five days earlier | -2.98% | final price |
| OXY | three days earlier | -2.28% | final price |
| OXY | five days earlier | -2.24% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | -5.75% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -5.10% | final price |
| VLO | three days earlier | +4.29% | final price |
| VLO | five days earlier | +3.47% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -1.67% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.18% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.80% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -2.72% | final price |
| XOP | three days earlier | -1.30% | final price |
| XOP | five days earlier | -1.08% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 84 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 84 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Marathon Petroleum (MPC), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid “A Tokyo Drifter’s Catalog of Crude Coincidences” looks
12 out of 100
“A Tokyo Drifter’s Catalog of Crude Coincidences” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.