Geopolitics Alpha

AI Fed Simulation Predicts Interest Rates Will Hold Steady

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHAAI Fed Simulation PredictsInterest Rates Will Hold SteadyGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about US interest rates and AI and big tech.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • QQQ Invesco QQQ+0.9% 30d

    Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-1.7% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton+5.1% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • SCHW The Charles Schwab

    The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • MSFT Microsoft+7.6% 30d

    Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT-1.71%-0.37%base-0.77%-0.12%+0.11%after close
IEF-0.94%-0.05%base-0.30%+0.21%+0.57%after close
QQQNo price data for this ticker———————
JPM-0.20%-1.26%base+1.03%+2.22%+0.78%after close
BAC+0.28%-0.24%base+0.41%+1.20%-0.88%after close
DHINo price data for this ticker———————
SCHWNo price data for this ticker———————
MSFTNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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AI Fed Simulation Predicts Interest Rates Will Hold Steady marketscreener.com

Source: marketscreener.com

This story

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day+0.41%final price
BACthe next day+1.20%final price
BACtwo days later-0.88%still updating
BACthree days earlier-0.24%final price
BACfive days earlier+0.28%final price
IEFthat day-0.30%final price
IEFthe next day+0.21%final price
IEFtwo days later+0.57%still updating
IEFthree days earlier-0.05%final price
IEFfive days earlier-0.94%final price
JPMthat day+1.03%final price
JPMthe next day+2.22%final price
JPMtwo days later+0.78%still updating
JPMthree days earlier-1.26%final price
JPMfive days earlier-0.20%final price
TLTthat day-0.77%final price
TLTthe next day-0.12%final price
TLTtwo days later+0.11%still updating
TLTthree days earlier-0.37%final price
TLTfive days earlier-1.71%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid “AI Fed Simulation Predicts Interest Rates Will Hold Steady” looks

12 out of 100Price not final

“AI Fed Simulation Predicts Interest Rates Will Hold Steady” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.