AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
- Artificial intelligence could become the most transformative force in the global economy, but investors face a challenge in determining what AI companies are w
- Exposed: QQQ, AIQ, TLT, MSFT, JPM
- Market reaction: AIQ +2.4% on the day (still updating); QQQ +2.0% on the day (still updating); MSFT −2.2% on the day (still updating)
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Artificial intelligence could become the most transformative force in the global economy, but investors face a challenge in determining what AI companies are w
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- QQQ Invesco QQQ-9.8% 30d
Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- AIQ Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF-4.6% 12d
Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 19d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- MSFT Microsoft+4.0% 30d
Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- GOOGL Alphabet-15.6% 30d
Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- AMZN Amazon.com+8.7% 30d
Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- META Meta Platforms-11.5% 30d
Meta Platforms (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | +2.50% | -2.74% | base | +1.99% | after close | after close | after close |
| AIQ | +2.54% | -2.53% | base | +2.44% | after close | after close | after close |
| TLT | +1.08% | +1.27% | base | -0.48% | after close | after close | after close |
| MSFT | +4.29% | -0.49% | base | -2.16% | after close | after close | after close |
| GOOGL | +0.54% | -0.95% | base | +1.21% | after close | after close | after close |
| AMZN | -1.76% | -4.23% | base | -1.61% | after close | after close | after close |
| META | -1.80% | -4.88% | base | -0.97% | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | +2.98% | -2.21% | base | -0.11% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks KED Global
Source: KED Global
How far Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) has moved since 11 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Fds (AIQ) | that day | +2.44% | still updating |
| Global X Fds (AIQ) | three days earlier | -2.53% | final price |
| Global X Fds (AIQ) | five days earlier | +2.54% | final price |
| Amazon Com (AMZN) | that day | -1.61% | still updating |
| Amazon Com (AMZN) | three days earlier | -4.23% | final price |
| Amazon Com (AMZN) | five days earlier | -1.76% | final price |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | that day | +1.21% | still updating |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | three days earlier | -0.95% | final price |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | five days earlier | +0.54% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | that day | -0.11% | still updating |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | -2.21% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | +2.98% | final price |
| META | that day | -0.97% | still updating |
| META | three days earlier | -4.88% | final price |
| META | five days earlier | -1.80% | final price |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | that day | -2.16% | still updating |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | three days earlier | -0.49% | final price |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | five days earlier | +4.29% | final price |
| Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) | that day | +1.99% | still updating |
| Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) | three days earlier | -2.74% | final price |
| Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) | five days earlier | +2.50% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | -0.48% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | +1.27% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Oct 2026. That is 14 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Shelley M Capito sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 21 Oct 2026. That is 21 days before publication. Filed 4 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 27 days before publication. Filed 2 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Alphabet (GOOGL) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Oct 2026. That is 14 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Alphabet (GOOGL), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Sep 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 18 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Alphabet (GOOGL) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Amazon Com (AMZN), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Oct 2026. That is 15 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 75 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Meta Platforms (META) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Oct 2026. That is 14 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Shelley M Capito sold Meta Platforms (META) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 21 Oct 2026. That is 21 days before publication. Filed 4 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Meta Platforms (META) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)
Companies mentioned with this story
- QQQ Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1
In “AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks,” Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
- AIQ Global X Fds
Global X Fds (AIQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks.” Reason on file: Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
For “AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- MSFT Microsoft
In “AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks,” Microsoft (MSFT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
In “AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- GOOGL Alphabet
In “AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks,” Alphabet (GOOGL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks.” Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- AMZN Amazon Com
In “AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks,” Amazon Com (AMZN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)
“AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks” (11 Nov 2026) reaches Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) through this story.
For Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ), the reason on file says Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
A second company, Global X Fds (AIQ), is listed for a different reason: Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
Dates and price levels for Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)
AIQ traded between 61.70 and 67.40 across 11 sessions. The latest close on file is 62.94. QQQ traded between 680.34 and 757.18 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 685.32. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
How strong the case is around Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)
46 out of 100Price not final
“AI hard to value, interest rates moderate by historical standards: Howard Marks” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.