Amazon Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Andy Jassy Say?
Published . Updated .
Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) reports third-quarter earnings after the bell Thursday, as investors question its $220 billion capital spending plan. Analysts expect $1.97 per share on $202.2 billion in revenue, up 12%. More than $317,000 has traded on Kalshi contracts tracking...
Directly affected
- AMZN Amazon Com+1.4% 30d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- IAI iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- CME CME Group+7.3% 9d
CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- NDAQ Nasdaq+15.7% 30d
Nasdaq (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- ICE Intercontinental Exchange+1.7% 30d
Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
- CBOE Cboe Global Markets+14.4% 30d
Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | -1.69% | -2.18% | base | -3.72% | after close | after close | after close |
| IAI | +0.20% | -0.13% | base | +0.92% | after close | after close | after close |
| CME | +4.03% | +4.74% | base | +0.50% | after close | after close | after close |
| NDAQ | -2.18% | -0.84% | base | -0.16% | after close | after close | after close |
| ICE | +4.96% | +2.57% | base | +5.54% | after close | after close | after close |
| CBOE | +2.32% | +4.41% | base | -2.31% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Amazon Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Andy Jassy Say? Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
Ishares Tr (IAI)
In the last 4 similar stories, Ishares Tr (IAI) moved an average of +0.72% the next day. The best was +0.92% and the worst was +0.13%, from 4 prices.
| Company | When | Average | Largest gain | Largest drop | Prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | the next day | +0.72% | +0.92% | +0.13% | 4 |
| Cme Group (CME) | the next day | -0.68% | +0.61% | -4.53% | 4 |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | the next day | +3.88% | +6.01% | -2.51% | 4 |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | the next day | -3.78% | -3.78% | -3.78% | 3 |
The price since 29 Oct 2026: Ishares Tr (IAI) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | that day | -3.72% | still updating |
| AMZN | three days earlier | -2.18% | final price |
| AMZN | five days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | that day | -2.31% | still updating |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | three days earlier | +4.41% | final price |
| Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) | five days earlier | +2.32% | final price |
| Cme Group (CME) | that day | +0.50% | still updating |
| Cme Group (CME) | three days earlier | +4.74% | final price |
| Cme Group (CME) | five days earlier | +4.03% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | that day | +0.92% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | three days earlier | -0.13% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IAI) | five days earlier | +0.20% | final price |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | that day | +5.54% | still updating |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | three days earlier | +2.57% | final price |
| Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) | five days earlier | +4.96% | final price |
| Nasdaq (NDAQ) | that day | -0.16% | still updating |
| Nasdaq (NDAQ) | three days earlier | -0.84% | final price |
| Nasdaq (NDAQ) | five days earlier | -2.18% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Amazon Com (AMZN), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Cme Group (CME), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 73 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Cme Group (CME), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 10 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Cme Group (CME), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 90 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. April McClain Delaney sold Nasdaq (NDAQ) (held by a dependent child), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 25 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 9 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. John Boozman sold Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 90 days before publication. Filed 17 Aug 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (IAI)
Companies mentioned with this story
- IAI Ishares Tr
For “Amazon Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Andy Jassy Say?,” Ishares Tr (IAI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- CME Cme Group
In “Amazon Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Andy Jassy Say?,” Cme Group (CME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- ICE Intercontinental Exchange
For “Amazon Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Andy Jassy Say?,” Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Intercontinental Exchange (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- CBOE Cboe Global Markets
For “Amazon Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Andy Jassy Say?,” Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Cboe Global Markets (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
- NDAQ Nasdaq
In “Amazon Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Andy Jassy Say?,” Nasdaq (NDAQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nasdaq (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Ishares Tr (IAI)
The 29 Oct 2026 story “Amazon Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Andy Jassy Say?” names Ishares Tr (IAI) because of this story.
Ishares Tr (IAI) is on the page because iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF: it holds exchanges and brokers. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Cme Group (CME) is here too. Its reason reads: CME Group (security and commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges and services): exchanges and brokers earn more when trading activity grows. Linked by “prediction market” (exchanges and trading) in this story
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (IAI) price range
CME traded between 290.48 and 309.31 across 7 sessions. The latest close on file is 294.11. ICE traded between 147.61 and 164.69 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.02.
What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (IAI)
40 out of 100Price not final
“Amazon Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Andy Jassy Say?” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.