Geopolitics Alpha

Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, DBA, TIP, CAT
  • Market reaction: XRT +5.2% on the day (still updating); XLI −1.1% on the day (still updating); CAT −6.0% on the day (still updating)

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DEFENSEAmericans and American farmersvoted against tariffs, trade warsand inflation. Will Trump listen…GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about tariffs and trade and grains and farm goods.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DBA Invesco DB Agriculture Fund-6.1% 30d

    Invesco DB Agriculture Fund: it follows farm commodity prices. Linked by “farmers” (grains and farm goods) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.1% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-23.2% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-0.6% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+12.9% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+6.7% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLI-1.66%-2.29%base-1.10%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT-2.30%-0.06%base+5.18%after closeafter closeafter close
DBA+2.11%+1.22%base-0.47%after closeafter closeafter close
TIP+0.16%+0.57%base+0.01%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT+14.53%-0.17%base-6.05%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-3.81%+1.40%base+1.30%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT-4.79%-1.04%base+4.70%after closeafter closeafter close
NKE-3.40%+0.56%base+4.82%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them? The Western Producer

Source: The Western Producer

The price since 4 Nov 2026: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Caterpillar (CAT)that day-6.05%still updating
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-0.17%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+14.53%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)that day-0.47%still updating
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days earlier+1.22%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)five days earlier+2.11%final price
Deere (DE)that day+1.30%still updating
Deere (DE)three days earlier+1.40%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-3.81%final price
Nike (NKE)that day+4.82%still updating
Nike (NKE)three days earlier+0.56%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier-3.40%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day+0.01%still updating
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.57%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.16%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day+4.70%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-1.04%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-4.79%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day-1.10%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-2.29%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-1.66%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day+5.18%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier-0.06%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-2.30%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    For “Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco DB Agriculture Fund: it follows farm commodity prices. Linked by “farmers” (grains and farm goods) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    In “Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    For “Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?.” Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How defense news reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

The 4 Nov 2026 story “Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?” names Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) because of Defense.

What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to the headline is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) price range

DBA traded between 26.80 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 26.80. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

A simple score for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Americans and American farmers voted against tariffs, trade wars and inflation. Will Trump listen to them?” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.