Apollo finds no broad AI payoff: NVDA stock forecast before earnings
Published . Updated .
Apollo sees little AI payoff beyond big tech. TECHi finds Nvidia’s EPS estimate held steady while NVDA’s forward multiple fell 6%, then maps conditional prices before earnings.
Directly affected
- NVDA Nvidia+0.0%
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-0.0%
The main advanced-chip manufacturer sits in Taiwan
- ASML ASML-7.1%
Chipmaking-equipment sales follow export rules
- AVGO Broadcom-6.7%
Chip makers and their suppliers move when export rules or Taiwan risk changes
- AMD AMD+4.6%
Chip makers and their suppliers move when export rules or Taiwan risk changes
- AMAT Applied Materials-12.6%
Chip-equipment makers feel export controls
- LRCX Lam Research-15.9%
Chip-equipment makers feel export controls
- SMH VanEck Semiconductor-2.5%
A fund of semiconductor companies
- SOXX iShares Semiconductor-3.7%
A fund of semiconductor companies
- QQQ Invesco QQQ-0.7%
Big tech moves with chip-supply risk
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TSMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ASMLNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AVGONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AMDNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AMATNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| LRCXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SMHNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SOXXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| QQQ | +2.00% | +2.99% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Apollo finds no broad AI payoff: NVDA stock forecast before earnings Techi
Source: Techi
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLD | three days earlier | +3.37% | final price |
| GLD | five days earlier | +3.56% | final price |
| QQQ | three days earlier | +2.99% | final price |
| QQQ | five days earlier | +2.00% | final price |
| SPY | three days earlier | +1.75% | final price |
| SPY | five days earlier | +0.89% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | -1.35% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | -2.31% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Nvidia (NVDA), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 1 Oct 2026. That is 23 days before publication. Filed 22 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Nvidia (NVDA) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Nvidia (NVDA) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 50 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Oct 2026. That is 15 days before publication. Filed 22 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul bought Asml Holding (ASML) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 7 Aug 2026. That is 78 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Broadcom (AVGO) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Broadcom (AVGO) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Broadcom (AVGO), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 16 Sep 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 50 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 18 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100
“Apollo finds no broad AI payoff: NVDA stock forecast before earnings” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.