Geopolitics Alpha

Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters

Published . Updated .

Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters

95,000+ executives read Business Engineer for the AI strategy frameworks cited by ChatGPT, Claude, and Perplexity. A note on sourcing. Apple’s refund figures come from its quarterly earnings releases, filed with the SEC as Exhibit 99.1 to its 8-K reports of 30 July and 2

Directly affected

  • AAPL Apple+1.4% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • QQQ Invesco QQQ-2.6% 30d

    Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • AIQ Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF-0.9% 19d

    Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-1.5% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • MSFT Microsoft+4.0% 30d

    Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-23.7% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • GOOGL Alphabet-21.2% 30d

    Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • DE Deere-0.9% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • AMZN Amazon.com-7.0% 30d

    Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
AAPL+2.48%+3.04%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
QQQNo price data for this ticker———————
AIQNo price data for this ticker———————
XLINo price data for this ticker———————
MSFTNo price data for this ticker———————
CATNo price data for this ticker———————
GOOGLNo price data for this ticker———————
DENo price data for this ticker———————
AMZNNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters FourWeekMBA

Source: FourWeekMBA

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Apple (AAPL)three days earlier+3.04%final price
Apple (AAPL)five days earlier+2.48%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies carried with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    In “Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • AAPL Apple

    In “Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters,” Apple (AAPL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Apple (electronic computers): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    For “Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    In “Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How “Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters” reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is the company in “Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters,” the 2 Nov 2026 this story story.

What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to the headline is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

AAPL traded between 330.63 and 351.68 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 344.64. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 167.42.

How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“Apple Tariff Refunds Added $0.16 a Share Over Two Quarters” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.