Geopolitics Alpha

As Nvidia’s stock heads for a bear market, bargain hunters see a golden buying opportunity

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Portfolio managers say chip demand should be resilient even in a period of political uncertainty.
  • Exposed: SMH, SOXX, AVGO, ASML, NVDA
  • Market reaction: SOXX −10.9% on the day (still updating); SMH −9.9% on the day (still updating); AMD −15.6% on the day (still updating)

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SEMICONDUCTORSAs Nvidia’s stock heads for a bearmarket, bargain hunters see agolden buying opportunityNVDAGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

Portfolio managers say chip demand should be resilient even in a period of political uncertainty.

Directly affected

  • NVDA Nvidia-8.4% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-16.4% 30d

    VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETF-20.8% 30d

    iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • ASML ASML Holding N.V-2.4% 15d

    ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing-9.5% 30d

    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • AVGO Broadcom-7.1% 30d

    Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • AMD Advanced Micro Devices-22.3% 30d

    Advanced Micro Devices (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
NVDA+6.76%+1.02%base-8.83%after closeafter closeafter close
SMH+11.33%+0.71%base-9.95%after closeafter closeafter close
SOXX+13.89%+0.56%base-10.87%after closeafter closeafter close
ASML+12.01%+1.96%base-7.82%after closeafter closeafter close
TSM+9.12%+0.78%base-9.67%after closeafter closeafter close
AVGO+5.97%-0.99%base-8.94%after closeafter closeafter close
AMD+15.92%-4.49%base-15.57%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Portfolio managers say chip demand should be resilient even in a period of political uncertainty.

Source: MarketWatch

Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) compared with technology stocks (XLK) since 5 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)that day-15.57%still updating
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)three days earlier-4.49%final price
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)five days earlier+15.92%final price
Asml Holding (ASML)that day-7.82%still updating
Asml Holding (ASML)three days earlier+1.96%final price
Asml Holding (ASML)five days earlier+12.01%final price
Broadcom (AVGO)that day-8.94%still updating
Broadcom (AVGO)three days earlier-0.99%final price
Broadcom (AVGO)five days earlier+5.97%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)that day-8.83%still updating
Nvidia (NVDA)three days earlier+1.02%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)five days earlier+6.76%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)that day-9.95%still updating
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)three days earlier+0.71%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)five days earlier+11.33%final price
Ishares Tr (SOXX)that day-10.87%still updating
Ishares Tr (SOXX)three days earlier+0.56%final price
Ishares Tr (SOXX)five days earlier+13.89%final price
TSMthat day-9.67%still updating
TSMthree days earlier+0.78%final price
TSMfive days earlier+9.12%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) on one side of this semiconductors story

Companies tied to this story

  • SMH Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “As Nvidia’s stock heads for a bear market, bargain hunters see a golden buying opportunity.” Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • SOXX Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (SOXX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “As Nvidia’s stock heads for a bear market, bargain hunters see a golden buying opportunity.” Reason on file: iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • AVGO Broadcom

    In “As Nvidia’s stock heads for a bear market, bargain hunters see a golden buying opportunity,” Broadcom (AVGO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • ASML Asml Holding

    Asml Holding (ASML) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “As Nvidia’s stock heads for a bear market, bargain hunters see a golden buying opportunity.” Reason on file: ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • NVDA Nvidia

    For “As Nvidia’s stock heads for a bear market, bargain hunters see a golden buying opportunity,” Nvidia (NVDA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nvidia (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • AMD Advanced Micro Devices

    For “As Nvidia’s stock heads for a bear market, bargain hunters see a golden buying opportunity,” Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Advanced Micro Devices (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

How semiconductors news reaches Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

On 5 Nov 2026, “As Nvidia’s stock heads for a bear market, bargain hunters see a golden buying opportunity” is the story that connects Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) to Semiconductors.

What ties Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) to the headline is this: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

Ishares Tr (SOXX) is here too. Its reason reads: iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) price range

AVGO traded between 319.31 and 373.32 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 325.63. SMH traded between 506.51 and 639.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 508.07. SOXX traded between 452.10 and 596.35 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 453.73.

How solid the semiconductors case looks

46 out of 100Price not final

“As Nvidia’s stock heads for a bear market, bargain hunters see a golden buying opportunity” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.