Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
- By Clyde RussellAsian nations that have borne the brunt of the US-Israeli war on Iran and US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs are hopeful that Democrats will be able to temper his most harmful policies.Democrats were on track to claim the House of Representatives and the
- Exposed: XLI, XRT, ITA, USO, AAXJ
- Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.
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By Clyde RussellAsian nations that have borne the brunt of the US-Israeli war on Iran and US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs are hopeful that Democrats will be able to temper his most harmful policies.Democrats were on track to claim the House of Representatives and the
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d
Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.
- AAXJ iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF-7.7% 14d
iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Asia, which this story is about (“asia”).
- EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF-4.5% 11d
iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”).
- CAT Caterpillar-23.2% 30d
Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- DE Deere-0.6% 30d
Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLI | -1.66% | -2.29% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XRT | -2.30% | -0.06% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ITA | -4.02% | -3.08% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | +5.38% | +6.75% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| AAXJ | +3.95% | +0.02% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| EIS | +2.68% | -0.28% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CAT | +14.53% | -0.17% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DE | -3.81% | +1.40% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell TradingView
Source: TradingView
How far Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) has moved since 4 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ) | three days earlier | +0.02% | final price |
| Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ) | five days earlier | +3.95% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | three days earlier | -0.17% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | five days earlier | +14.53% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | three days earlier | +1.40% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | five days earlier | -3.81% | final price |
| EIS | three days earlier | -0.28% | final price |
| EIS | five days earlier | +2.68% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | -3.08% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | -4.02% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +6.75% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +5.38% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | three days earlier | -2.29% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | five days earlier | -1.66% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | three days earlier | -0.06% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | five days earlier | -2.30% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Caterpillar (CAT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) on one side of this defense story
Companies mentioned with this story
- XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
In “Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story
- AAXJ Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan
In “Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Asia, which this story is about (“asia”)
- CAT Caterpillar
In “Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- DE Deere
For “Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- WMT Walmart
In “Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
How defense news reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
On 4 Nov 2026, “Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to Defense.
For Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), the reason on file says Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), and the dates in the story
ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.
What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
46 out of 100
“Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.