Asian refiners' pain is Middle East oil producers' problem
Published . Updated .
This report is about Energy. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because oil producers earn more when crude prices rise.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XOM Exxon Mobil+11.0%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron+9.9%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- OXY Occidental Petroleum+3.8%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- COP ConocoPhillips+11.7%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- VLO Valero+9.5%
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- MPC Marathon Petroleum+10.2%
Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices
- XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration+4.2%
A fund of oil and gas producers
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4%
A fund of energy companies
- USO United States Oil Fund+8.2%
This fund moves with oil prices
- OIH VanEck Oil Services-1.2%
Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | -2.72% | -2.80% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -3.75% | -2.77% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| OXY | -2.23% | -2.27% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COP | -3.70% | -3.40% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| VLO | +3.31% | +4.13% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| MPC | +3.75% | +2.58% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOP | -1.09% | -1.32% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -2.19% | -1.69% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | -5.13% | -5.78% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| OIH | -3.02% | -0.91% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Asian refiners' pain is Middle East oil producers' problem Awani International
Source: Awani International
Middle East
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COP | three days earlier | -3.40% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -3.70% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -3.75% | final price |
| MPC | three days earlier | +2.58% | final price |
| MPC | five days earlier | +3.75% | final price |
| OIH | three days earlier | -0.91% | final price |
| OIH | five days earlier | -3.02% | final price |
| OXY | three days earlier | -2.27% | final price |
| OXY | five days earlier | -2.23% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | -5.78% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -5.13% | final price |
| VLO | three days earlier | +4.13% | final price |
| VLO | five days earlier | +3.31% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.19% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.80% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -2.72% | final price |
| XOP | three days earlier | -1.32% | final price |
| XOP | five days earlier | -1.09% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Marathon Petroleum (MPC), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Middle East, seven days against thirty
Geopolitics Alpha has 0 stories about Middle East from the past 7 days and 0 stories from the past 30. “Asian refiners' pain is Middle East oil producers' problem” is tagged to Middle East.
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100
“Asian refiners' pain is Middle East oil producers' problem” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.