Geopolitics Alpha

Asian refiners’ shipping quandary continues with renewed attacks and delays

Published . Updated .

Asian refiners’ shipping quandary continues with renewed attacks and delays

There is no credible end in sight for the double whammy in the Middle East as Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia continue amid the Hormuz choke

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “shipping” (container shipping) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “middle east” (oil) in this story.

  • AAXJ iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF-6.5% 16d

    iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Asia, which this story is about (“asian”).

  • KSA iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF-7.6% 30d

    iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF holds stocks listed in Saudi Arabia, which this story is about (“saudi”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refiner” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRAKNo price data for this ticker———————
XLE-1.29%+1.72%base+0.37%+2.25%after closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
USO-2.52%-0.26%base+0.32%+1.30%after closeafter close
AAXJNo price data for this ticker———————
KSANo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-2.14%+1.35%base+0.44%—after closeafter close
CVX-1.18%+1.19%base+0.52%—after closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Asian refiners’ shipping quandary continues with renewed attacks and delays Lloyd's List

Source: Lloyd's List

Middle East

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthat day+0.52%superseded
CVXthree days earlier+1.19%final price
CVXfive days earlier-1.18%final price
USOthat day+0.32%final price
USOthe next day+1.30%final price
USOthree days earlier-0.26%final price
USOfive days earlier-2.52%final price
XLEthat day+0.37%final price
XLEthe next day+2.25%final price
XLEthree days earlier+1.72%final price
XLEfive days earlier-1.29%final price
XOMthat day+0.44%superseded
XOMthree days earlier+1.35%final price
XOMfive days earlier-2.14%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How busy Middle East has been lately

Middle East

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How solid the defense case looks

12 out of 100Price not final

“Asian refiners’ shipping quandary continues with renewed attacks and delays” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.