ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation
Published . Updated .
Futures show that shares will open flat as investors brace for a higher cash rate and the prospect of surging oil prices if the US strikes Iran after elections.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- EWA iShares MSCI Australia ETF+2.2% 30d
iShares MSCI Australia ETF holds stocks listed in Australia, which this story is about (“rba”).
- BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Australia
- EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-2.2% 11d
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Australia
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -1.54% | -1.29% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -0.51% | -2.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TIPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EWANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EFANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation AFR
Source: AFR
How far Ishares Inc Msci Australia Etf (EWA) has moved since 1 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| USO | three days earlier | -1.29% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -1.54% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -2.20% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -0.51% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman sold Ishares Tr (EFA) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 18 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Inc Msci Australia Etf (EWA)
Companies mentioned with this story
- EWA Ishares Inc Msci Australia Etf
Ishares Inc Msci Australia Etf (EWA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Australia ETF holds stocks listed in Australia, which this story is about (“rba”)
- BWX Spdr Series Trust
For “ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation,” Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Australia
- EFA Ishares Tr
For “ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation,” Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Australia
- BHP BHP Group
For “ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation,” BHP Group (BHP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: BHP Group (metal mining) is one of the largest Australia-based companies traded in the US, so news about Australia (“rba”) reaches its shares
- IREN Iren Limited Ordinary Shares
Iren Limited Ordinary Shares (IREN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation.” Reason on file: Iren (finance services) is one of the largest Australia-based companies traded in the US, so news about Australia (“rba”) reaches its shares
- MESO Mesoblast
Mesoblast (MESO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation.” Reason on file: Mesoblast (biological products, (no diagnostic substances)) is one of the largest Australia-based companies traded in the US, so news about Australia (“rba”) reaches its shares
Ishares Inc Msci Australia Etf (EWA)
The 1 Nov 2026 story “ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation” names Ishares Inc Msci Australia Etf (EWA) because of this story.
For Ishares Inc Msci Australia Etf (EWA), the reason on file says iShares MSCI Australia ETF holds stocks listed in Australia, which this story is about (“rba”)
Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Australia
Price levels for Ishares Inc Msci Australia Etf (EWA)
EFA traded between 102.00 and 105.11 across 7 sessions. The latest close on file is 103.46. EWA traded between 27.76 and 29.31 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 29.12.
How strong the case is around Ishares Inc Msci Australia Etf (EWA)
46 out of 100
“ASX on hold ahead of RBA’s fifth rate rise to crush inflation” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.