Geopolitics Alpha

Attention, Passengers: High Airfares May Be Here to Stay

Published . Updated .

DEFENSEAttention, Passengers: HighAirfares May Be Here to StayGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

Ticket prices jumped after fuel costs spiked because of the war with Iran, but airlines say even an end to the conflict will not bring fares back down quickly.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline+4.7%

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways+0.8%

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.2%

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4%

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+14.2%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX-2.2%

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil+11.0%

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • DAL Delta Air Lines-3.8%

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO-4.16%-3.04%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
INSW-5.43%+0.49%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DHT-6.23%-1.71%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TNK-4.67%-3.50%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO-5.13%-5.78%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-2.19%-1.69%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
LMT-9.31%-8.71%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
RTX+0.57%+0.33%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM-2.72%-2.80%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DAL-2.77%+1.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Ticket prices jumped after fuel costs spiked because of the war with Iran, but airlines say even an end to the conflict will not bring fares back down quickly.

Source: The New York Times

Defense

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
DALthree days earlier+1.20%final price
DALfive days earlier-2.77%final price
DHTthree days earlier-1.71%final price
DHTfive days earlier-6.23%final price
FROthree days earlier-3.04%final price
FROfive days earlier-4.16%final price
INSWthree days earlier+0.49%final price
INSWfive days earlier-5.43%final price
LMTthree days earlier-8.71%final price
LMTfive days earlier-9.31%final price
RTXthree days earlier+0.33%final price
RTXfive days earlier+0.57%final price
TNKthree days earlier-3.50%final price
TNKfive days earlier-4.67%final price
USOthree days earlier-5.78%final price
USOfive days earlier-5.13%final price
XLEthree days earlier-1.69%final price
XLEfive days earlier-2.19%final price
XOMthree days earlier-2.80%final price
XOMfive days earlier-2.72%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid “Attention, Passengers: High Airfares May Be Here to Stay” looks

12 out of 100

“Attention, Passengers: High Airfares May Be Here to Stay” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.