Geopolitics Alpha

Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: XRT, XLY, TIP, XLF, WMT
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHABank of America data showsconsumers trade down as inflationstrains U.S. household budgetsBACGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about retail and consumer goods and inflation and prices.

Directly affected

  • BAC Bank Of America-10.5% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR+5.7% 30d

    Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF+1.1% 16d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR+1.6% 16d

    Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+18.8% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • AMZN Amazon.com+6.4% 30d

    Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale+18.6% 30d

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • TGT Target-1.0% 30d

    Target (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
BAC-0.84%-0.69%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XRT+1.88%+1.40%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLY+0.82%+0.83%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TIP+1.37%+0.64%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLF-1.18%-0.10%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
WMT-1.96%-1.88%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
AMZN+0.13%-0.13%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COST-3.62%-1.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TGT+2.76%+0.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets Traders Union

Source: Traders Union

Price since this story was published: Spdr Series Trust (XRT)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amazon Com (AMZN)three days earlier-0.13%final price
Amazon Com (AMZN)five days earlier+0.13%final price
BACthree days earlier-0.69%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.84%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)three days earlier-1.75%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)five days earlier-3.62%final price
Target (TGT)three days earlier+0.77%final price
Target (TGT)five days earlier+2.76%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.64%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+1.37%final price
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-1.88%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-1.96%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)three days earlier-0.10%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)five days earlier-1.18%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY)three days earlier+0.83%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY)five days earlier+0.82%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier+1.40%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier+1.88%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Spdr Series Trust (XRT)

Companies carried with this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    In “Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    For “Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • AMZN Amazon Com

    Amazon Com (AMZN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 14 Nov 2026 story “Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets.” Reason on file: Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    In “Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • TGT Target

    For “Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets,” Target (TGT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Target (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

Spdr Series Trust (XRT)

Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is the company in “Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets,” the 14 Nov 2026 this story story.

The link for Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is this: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY): Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

Price levels for Spdr Series Trust (XRT)

TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 13 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. XLY traded between 110.58 and 119.20 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 118.15.

A simple score for Spdr Series Trust (XRT)

46 out of 100

“Bank of America data shows consumers trade down as inflation strains U.S. household budgets” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.