Geopolitics Alpha

Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • The central bank said that inflation would climb to about 5 percent next year, far above its target, because of higher energy prices driven by the war in Iran.
  • Exposed: EWU, BWX, EFA, HSBC, LIN
  • Market reaction: EWU −2.1% on the day; BWX +0.1% on the day; ARM −13.2% on the day

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DEFENSEBank of England Raises Rates forFirst Time in Three YearsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

The central bank said that inflation would climb to about 5 percent next year, far above its target, because of higher energy prices driven by the war in Iran.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-5.0% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “energy prices” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “energy prices” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “energy prices” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF-0.9% 18d

    iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“england”).

  • BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF

    SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK

  • EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-1.5% 7d

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes the UK

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “energy prices” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+15.71%+7.84%base+1.93%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+8.14%+5.85%base-2.34%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+32.30%+28.62%base-4.78%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA+0.76%+0.87%base-4.00%after closeafter closeafter close
EWU-2.57%-1.84%base-2.15%after closeafter closeafter close
BWX-0.60%-0.53%base+0.05%after closeafter closeafter close
EFA-1.31%-1.92%base-2.88%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.08%+6.08%base-2.44%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

The central bank said that inflation would climb to about 5 percent next year, far above its target, because of higher energy prices driven by the war in Iran.

Source: The New York Times

Ishares Tr (EWU) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BWETthat day-4.78%final price
BWETthree days earlier+28.62%final price
BWETfive days earlier+32.30%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)that day+0.05%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)three days earlier-0.53%final price
Spdr Series Trust (BWX)five days earlier-0.60%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)that day-2.88%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)three days earlier-1.92%final price
Ishares Tr (EFA)five days earlier-1.31%final price
Ishares Tr (EWU)that day-2.15%final price
Ishares Tr (EWU)three days earlier-1.84%final price
Ishares Tr (EWU)five days earlier-2.57%final price
ITAthat day-4.00%final price
ITAthree days earlier+0.87%final price
ITAfive days earlier+0.76%final price
USOthat day+1.93%final price
USOthree days earlier+7.84%final price
USOfive days earlier+15.71%final price
XLEthat day-2.34%final price
XLEthree days earlier+5.85%final price
XLEfive days earlier+8.14%final price
XOMthat day-2.44%final price
XOMthree days earlier+6.08%final price
XOMfive days earlier+8.08%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Ishares Tr (EWU) on one side of this defense story

Companies tied to this story

  • EWU Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (EWU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“england”)

  • BWX Spdr Series Trust

    For “Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years,” Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK

  • EFA Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes the UK

  • HSBC Hsbc Holdings

    For “Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years,” Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“england”) reaches its shares

  • LIN Linde

    For “Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years,” Linde (LIN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Linde (industrial inorganic chemicals) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“england”) reaches its shares

  • ARM Arm Holdings

    For “Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years,” Arm Holdings (ARM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Arm Holdings (semiconductors and related devices) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“england”) reaches its shares

  • RIO Rio Tinto

    Rio Tinto (RIO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years.” Reason on file: Rio Tinto Group (metal mining) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“england”) reaches its shares

How “Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years” reaches Ishares Tr (EWU)

“Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years” (5 Nov 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (EWU) through Defense.

The link for Ishares Tr (EWU) is this: iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“england”)

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (BWX): SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK

Price levels for Ishares Tr (EWU)

EFA traded between 102.00 and 104.68 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 103.46. EWU traded between 45.65 and 47.88 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 46.84.

The defense score for Ishares Tr (EWU)

46 out of 100

“Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.