Barclays' Giannoni sees Fed hiking in December and January as inflation pressures persist
Published . Updated .
Barclays’ Marc Giannoni expects the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady at its October meeting, citing limited economic data and the proximity of the US midterm elections. But persistent inflation pressures, driven partly by rising freight and petrochemical costs, could prompt
Directly affected
- BCS Barclays-12.5% 30d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+61.1% 18d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.5% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-15.0% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+11.3% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+11.5% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCS | +0.58% | -3.14% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TLT | -1.71% | -0.37% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.94% | -0.05% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TIPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM | -0.20% | -1.26% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | +0.28% | -0.24% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| WMTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COSTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Barclays' Giannoni sees Fed hiking in December and January as inflation pressures persist CNBC
Source: CNBC
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | three days earlier | -0.24% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | +0.28% | final price |
| BCS | three days earlier | -3.14% | final price |
| BCS | five days earlier | +0.58% | final price |
| IEF | three days earlier | -0.05% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | -0.94% | final price |
| JPM | three days earlier | -1.26% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | -0.37% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | -1.71% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought IEF (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Richard W. Allen sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 18 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100
“Barclays' Giannoni sees Fed hiking in December and January as inflation pressures persist” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.