Geopolitics Alpha

Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Bernstein downgraded ConocoPhillips, Diamondback Energy and Devon Energy to Market-Perform from Outperform, cutting price targets on all three, while…
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, XOM, CVX, SHEL
  • Market reaction: USO +3.4% on the day; XLE +1.5% on the day; OXY +2.2% on the day

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Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers

Bernstein downgraded ConocoPhillips, Diamondback Energy and Devon Energy to Market-Perform from Outperform, cutting price targets on all three, while…

Directly affected

  • COP Conocophillips+6.5% 30d

    Named in this report.

  • FANG Diamondback Energy-2.5% 30d

    Named in this report.

  • DVN Devon Energy-4.7% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.5% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+2.9% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+0.8% 7d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+10.3% 18d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
COP-1.64%-2.34%base+1.97%after closeafter closeafter close
FANG-0.75%-1.55%base+0.65%after closeafter closeafter close
DVN-4.65%-5.63%base+2.84%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+4.74%+0.82%base+3.43%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-2.64%-2.21%base+1.50%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM-0.81%-1.14%base+1.84%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX-0.13%-1.13%base+1.51%after closeafter closeafter close
SHEL+2.32%+1.03%base+0.72%after closeafter closeafter close
OXY-1.40%-2.40%base+2.25%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers BigGo Finance

Source: BigGo Finance

The price since 12 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
COPthat day+1.97%final price
COPthree days earlier-2.34%final price
COPfive days earlier-1.64%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day+1.51%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-1.13%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-0.13%final price
DVNthat day+2.84%final price
DVNthree days earlier-5.63%final price
DVNfive days earlier-4.65%final price
FANGthat day+0.65%final price
FANGthree days earlier-1.55%final price
FANGfive days earlier-0.75%final price
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)that day+2.25%final price
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)three days earlier-2.40%final price
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)five days earlier-1.40%final price
Shell (SHEL)that day+0.72%final price
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier+1.03%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier+2.32%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+3.43%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+0.82%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.74%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.50%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.21%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+1.84%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-1.14%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-0.81%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    For “Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers.” Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

On 12 Nov 2026, “Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70. XOM traded between 167.40 and 188.47 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.46.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Bernstein Warns Oil Stocks May Stall Even With Crude at $90, Cuts Three U.S. Producers” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.