Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall
Published . Updated .
Covered by 2 outlets: The Globe and Mail, Zacks Investment Research.
Key takeaways
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
Detailed price information for Chevron Corp (CVX-N) from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.
Directly affected
- CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-16.0% 30d
United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- OXY Occidental Petroleum+10.3% 18d
Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- LNG Cheniere Energy+13.7% 30d
Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story.
- EQT Eqt+7.6% 30d
Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | +1.76% | +4.58% | base | -2.69% | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | +5.38% | +6.75% | base | -2.52% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +2.64% | +4.95% | base | -3.73% | after close | after close | after close |
| UNG | +4.28% | -0.44% | base | -0.22% | after close | after close | after close |
| ITA | -4.02% | -3.08% | base | -1.16% | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +2.57% | +5.49% | base | -2.82% | after close | after close | after close |
| OXY | +4.03% | +5.88% | base | -3.63% | after close | after close | after close |
| LNGNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EQT | +3.64% | +2.07% | base | -1.93% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall The Globe and Mail
Source: The Globe and Mail
United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevron (CVX) | that day | -2.69% | still updating |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +4.58% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +1.76% | final price |
| Eqt (EQT) | that day | -1.93% | still updating |
| Eqt (EQT) | three days earlier | +2.07% | final price |
| Eqt (EQT) | five days earlier | +3.64% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | that day | -1.16% | still updating |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | -3.08% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | -4.02% | final price |
| Occidental Petroleum (OXY) | that day | -3.63% | still updating |
| Occidental Petroleum (OXY) | three days earlier | +5.88% | final price |
| Occidental Petroleum (OXY) | five days earlier | +4.03% | final price |
| United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) | that day | -0.22% | still updating |
| United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) | three days earlier | -0.44% | final price |
| United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) | five days earlier | +4.28% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | that day | -2.52% | still updating |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +6.75% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +5.38% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | that day | -3.73% | still updating |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +4.95% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +2.64% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | that day | -2.82% | still updating |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +5.49% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +2.57% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 21 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 42 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 21 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 75 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Eqt (EQT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Eqt (EQT), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 79 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Eqt (EQT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Aug 2026. That is 82 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who collects and who pays in energy
Companies that tend to gain
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- OXY Occidental Petroleum
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall.” Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- UNG United States Natural Gas Fund
For “Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
For “Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
“Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall” (4 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.
What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story
UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.12. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.
What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)
62 out of 100Price not final
“Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall” scores 62 out of 100. The score uses 3 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.