Geopolitics Alpha

Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump

Published . Updated .

Covered by 2 outlets: Scripps News, WTKR.

Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump

Gas prices have barely budged for months. On Friday, America’s two biggest oil companies showed just how much that’s been worth to them.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-11.9% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas prices” (natural gas) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.9% 15d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+10.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+1.5% 30d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
UNGNo price data for this ticker———————
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVXNo price data for this ticker———————
OXYNo price data for this ticker———————
COPNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump Scripps News

Source: Scripps News

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    In “Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump,” the 30 Oct 2026 Energy story.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 214.50. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.21. XLE traded between 61.91 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.72.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

54 out of 100

“Big oil’s profits soar as Iran War keeps drivers paying more at the pump” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies.