Black Cautions Tesla Shareholders On SpaceX Merger Risks: Says Marvell-Lumentum Deal Reaction Offers Early Warning
Published . Updated .
Gary Black said in a post on X that in large, complex all-stock transactions with extended timelines, traders typically sell the acquirer’s shares, reducing the effective value delivered to the target’s shareholders.
Directly affected
- TSLA Tesla+6.6% 30d
Named in this report.
- SPCX Space Exploration Technologies-16.1% 17d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-1.5% 30d
Industrial Select Sector SPDR holds the industrials sector that Space Exploration Technologies belongs to, so it often moves with news about it.
- LMT Lockheed Martin+19.0% 30d
Lockheed Martin is a peer of Space Exploration Technologies in guided missiles and space vehicles and parts; rivals often move on the same news.
- RKLB Rocket Lab-21.7% 30d
Rocket Lab is a peer of Space Exploration Technologies in guided missiles and space vehicles and parts; rivals often move on the same news.
- KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions-13.2% 30d
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is a peer of Space Exploration Technologies in guided missiles and space vehicles and parts; rivals often move on the same news.
- MDA MDA Space+1.4% 14d
MDA Space is a peer of Space Exploration Technologies in guided missiles and space vehicles and parts; rivals often move on the same news.
- FLY Firefly Aerospace-21.4% 30d
Firefly Aerospace is a peer of Space Exploration Technologies in guided missiles and space vehicles and parts; rivals often move on the same news.
- XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR+2.3% 30d
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR holds the consumer sector that Tesla belongs to, so it often moves with news about it.
- GM General Motors+2.4% 30d
General Motors is a peer of Tesla in motor vehicles and passenger car bodies; rivals often move on the same news.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | -2.03% | +1.14% | base | +0.64% | after close | after close | after close |
| SPCXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XLINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| LMTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RKLBNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KTOSNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MDANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FLYNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XLYNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Black Cautions Tesla Shareholders On SpaceX Merger Risks: Says Marvell-Lumentum Deal Reaction Offers Early Warning Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | that day | +0.64% | still updating |
| TSLA | three days earlier | +1.14% | final price |
| TSLA | five days earlier | -2.03% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Tesla (TSLA) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Tesla (TSLA) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Tesla (TSLA) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 39 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 12 Aug 2026. That is 82 days before publication. Filed 9 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 46 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Rocket Lab (RKLB), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Rocket Lab (RKLB), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 10 Aug 2026. That is 84 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold General Motors (GM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100Price not final
“Black Cautions Tesla Shareholders On SpaceX Merger Risks: Says Marvell-Lumentum Deal Reaction Offers Early Warning” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.