BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official
Published . Updated .
Mizuho Research Institute's Kazuo Momma who was a former BOJ official expects 25-basis-point rate hikes every three months, but says a renewed oil shock could accelerate tightening if higher living costs fuel stronger wage demands.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+7.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.2% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+25.1% 18d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF-0.2% 30d
iShares MSCI Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Japan, which this story is about (“boj”).
- BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Japan
- EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-2.2% 11d
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Japan
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.3% 14d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+8.4% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XLENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EWJNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EFANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | +0.03% | -1.79% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +0.78% | -1.37% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official CNBC
Source: CNBC
United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 30 Oct 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | -1.37% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +0.78% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | -1.79% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +0.03% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman sold Ishares Tr (EFA) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who collects and who pays in energy
Companies carried with this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
For “BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
- EWJ Ishares
In “BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official,” Ishares (EWJ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Japan, which this story is about (“boj”)
- BWX Spdr Series Trust
Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official.” Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Japan
- EFA Ishares Tr
In “BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official,” Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Japan
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
In “BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official,” the 30 Oct 2026 Energy story.
What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range
BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 166.69. XLE traded between 61.05 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.46.
A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“BOJ's gradual rate hike path could accelerate if another round of oil shocks drives up wages: Former official” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.