Geopolitics Alpha

Bridgewater on Rising Interest Rates: Not Just Due to Oil Prices, but a Supply-Driven Repricing of Capital Markets

Published . Updated .

ENERGYBridgewater on Rising InterestRates: Not Just Due to Oil Prices,but a Supply-Driven Repricing of…GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about Interest rates and Energy. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because oil producers earn more when crude prices rise.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond-1.8%

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond-0.9%

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond-0.3%

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500-0.1%

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • XOM Exxon Mobil+11.0%

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron+9.9%

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.3%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America-15.0%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs-11.4%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.9%

    A fund of financial companies

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT-2.54%-2.05%base+0.06%-0.66%+0.16%+0.31%
IEF-1.05%-0.89%base+0.08%-0.30%-0.12%-0.13%
SHY-0.10%-0.10%base+0.11%+0.03%+0.02%+0.00%
SPY+0.87%+0.81%base-1.09%-0.67%-0.35%+0.18%
XOM-3.27%-0.37%base+2.45%+2.00%+1.81%+1.92%
CVX-3.36%-0.70%base+2.56%+2.33%+2.87%+3.37%
JPM-0.76%-1.20%base+1.23%-0.61%-0.07%-0.12%
BAC+5.09%+4.39%base-0.88%-2.50%-1.97%-1.68%
GS+0.47%+0.10%base-1.19%-1.75%-0.72%+1.50%
XLF-0.92%-0.76%base+0.47%-0.31%+0.85%+1.41%

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Bridgewater on Rising Interest Rates: Not Just Due to Oil Prices, but a Supply-Driven Repricing of Capital Markets 富途牛牛

Source: 블루밍비트

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day-0.88%final price
BACthe next day-2.50%final price
BACtwo days later-1.97%final price
BACthree days later-1.68%final price
BACthree days earlier+4.39%final price
BACfive days earlier+5.09%final price
CVXthat day+2.56%final price
CVXthe next day+2.33%final price
CVXtwo days later+2.87%final price
CVXthree days later+3.37%final price
CVXthree days earlier-0.70%final price
CVXfive days earlier-3.36%final price
GSthat day-1.19%final price
GSthe next day-1.75%final price
GStwo days later-0.72%final price
GSthree days later+1.50%final price
GSthree days earlier+0.10%final price
GSfive days earlier+0.47%final price
IEFthat day+0.08%final price
IEFthe next day-0.30%final price
IEFtwo days later-0.12%final price
IEFthree days later-0.13%final price
IEFthree days earlier-0.89%final price
IEFfive days earlier-1.05%final price
JPMthat day+1.23%final price
JPMthe next day-0.61%final price
JPMtwo days later-0.07%final price
JPMthree days later-0.12%final price
JPMthree days earlier-1.20%final price
JPMfive days earlier-0.76%final price
SHYthat day+0.11%final price
SHYthe next day+0.03%final price
SHYtwo days later+0.02%final price
SHYthree days later0.00%final price
SHYthree days earlier-0.10%final price
SHYfive days earlier-0.10%final price
SPYthat day-1.09%final price
SPYthe next day-0.67%final price
SPYtwo days later-0.35%final price
SPYthree days later+0.18%final price
SPYthree days earlier+0.81%final price
SPYfive days earlier+0.87%final price
TLTthat day+0.06%final price
TLTthe next day-0.66%final price
TLTtwo days later+0.16%final price
TLTthree days later+0.31%final price
TLTthree days earlier-2.05%final price
TLTfive days earlier-2.54%final price
XLFthat day+0.47%final price
XLFthe next day-0.31%final price
XLFtwo days later+0.85%final price
XLFthree days later+1.41%final price
XLFthree days earlier-0.76%final price
XLFfive days earlier-0.92%final price
XOMthat day+2.45%final price
XOMthe next day+2.00%final price
XOMtwo days later+1.81%final price
XOMthree days later+1.92%final price
XOMthree days earlier-0.37%final price
XOMfive days earlier-3.27%final price
SPY
XLE

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Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100

“Bridgewater on Rising Interest Rates: Not Just Due to Oil Prices, but a Supply-Driven Repricing of Capital Markets” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.