Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation
Published . Updated .
U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks during the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group in Bangkok, Thailand, Friday, Oct.…
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.5% 30d
Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “bank” (banks) in this story.
- THD iShares MSCI Thailand ETF
iShares MSCI Thailand ETF holds stocks listed in Thailand, which this story is about (“thailand”).
- EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF-2.1% 11d
iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF holds emerging-market government bonds, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Thailand
- EMLC VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF holds emerging-market bonds in local currencies, which move with rate and currency news like this from Thailand.
- EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF-0.3% 30d
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is a broad fund of emerging-market stocks that includes Thailand
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -1.71% | -0.37% | base | -0.61% | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.94% | -0.05% | base | -0.12% | after close | after close | after close |
| TIP | -0.71% | -0.07% | base | +0.00% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLF | +0.25% | +0.04% | base | +0.36% | after close | after close | after close |
| THDNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EMBNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EMLCNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EEMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation Tri City Record
Source: Tri City Record
Ishares Tr (TLT) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | -0.12% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | -0.05% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -0.94% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | that day | 0.00% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | -0.07% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | -0.71% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | -0.61% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | -0.37% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -1.71% | final price |
| XLF | that day | +0.36% | still updating |
| XLF | three days earlier | +0.04% | final price |
| XLF | five days earlier | +0.25% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)
Companies carried with this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
For “Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
In “Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
In “Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation.” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
For “Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- DHI Horton D R
For “Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation,” Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- SCHW Schwab Charles
Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation.” Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- WMT Walmart
Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Ishares Tr (TLT)
“Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation” (28 Oct 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (TLT) through this story.
What ties Ishares Tr (TLT) to the headline is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (TLT) price range
IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.67 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (TLT)
46 out of 100Price not final
“Briefs: Federal Reserve likely to skip rate hike despite elevated inflation” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.