Geopolitics Alpha

Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns

Published . Updated .

ENERGYChevron Exceeds Forecasts on OilPrices, Swollen Fuel-MakingReturnsCVXGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil.

Directly affected

  • CVX Chevron+10.5% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.9% 15d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+7.7% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+1.5% 30d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CVX+0.78%-1.37%base+1.71%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+0.80%-2.73%base+1.41%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+0.88%-0.71%base+1.41%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.03%-1.79%base+1.31%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.55%-1.36%base+1.63%after closeafter closeafter close
SHEL+0.46%-2.69%base+0.99%after closeafter closeafter close
OXY+1.84%-0.43%base+0.83%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Conocophillips (COP)that day+1.63%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier-1.36%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.55%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day+1.71%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-1.37%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.78%final price
OXYthat day+0.83%still updating
OXYthree days earlier-0.43%final price
OXYfive days earlier+1.84%final price
Shell (SHEL)that day+0.99%still updating
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier-2.69%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier+0.46%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+1.41%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.73%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+0.80%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.41%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.71%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+0.88%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+1.31%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-1.79%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.03%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies mentioned with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    In “Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

“Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns” (30 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

CVX traded between 201.96 and 234.06 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 231.43. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.21. XLE traded between 61.91 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.72.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Chevron Exceeds Forecasts on Oil Prices, Swollen Fuel-Making Returns” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.