China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors
Published . Updated .
This report is about tariffs and trade and Chinese tech. Names like CAT and DE typically come under pressure because caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
Directly affected
- GS Goldman Sachs Group-8.5% 30d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-1.1% 30d
Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- KWEB KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF-5.2% 30d
KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF: it holds Chinese internet companies. Linked by “china” (Chinese tech) in this story.
- SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-0.1% 30d
VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “china” (semiconductors) in this story.
- FXI iShares China Large-Cap ETF-5.5% 30d
iShares China Large-Cap ETF holds stocks listed in China, which this story is about (“china”).
- CAT Caterpillar-11.6% 30d
Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- DE Deere-5.8% 30d
Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- NKE Nike+4.7% 30d
Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | -0.97% | -0.25% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XRTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KWEBNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SMHNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FXINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CATNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NKE | -0.03% | +1.08% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors MoneyWise.com
Source: MoneyWise.com
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| GS | three days earlier | -0.25% | final price |
| GS | five days earlier | -0.97% | final price |
| Nike (NKE) | three days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| Nike (NKE) | five days earlier | -0.03% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 3 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Caterpillar (CAT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Caterpillar (CAT), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 88 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Nike (NKE), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
Companies that tend to pay
- CAT Caterpillar
In “China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors,” Caterpillar (CAT) tends to be hurt, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- DE Deere
In “China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors,” Deere (DE) tends to be hurt, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- NKE Nike
Nike (NKE) tends to be hurt, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors.” Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
No up or down call on file
- XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors.” Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- KWEB Kraneshares Csi China Internet Etf
In “China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors,” Kraneshares Csi China Internet Etf (KWEB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF: it holds Chinese internet companies. Linked by “china” (Chinese tech) in this story
- SMH Vaneck Etf Trust
For “China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors,” Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “china” (semiconductors) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
On 27 Oct 2026, “China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to this story.
What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to the headline is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
KWEB traded between 22.93 and 25.02 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 23.20. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 166.97. XRT traded between 83.12 and 86.10 across 2 sessions. The latest close on file is 83.23.
How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
46 out of 100
“China’s economy keeps growing despite Trump’s tariffs. What Goldman Sachs’ warning means for US investors” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.