Geopolitics Alpha

Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: UNG, XLE, USO, BWET, LNG
  • Market reaction: XLE −5.9% on the day (still updating); UNG +2.0% on the day (still updating); BWET −15.7% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZCould Democrats Unlock HormuzAfter Midterm Rout? LNG MarketsWatching WashingtonGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about natural gas and oil.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-16.0% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “lng” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “lng” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • LNG Cheniere Energy+13.7% 30d

    Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • EQT Eqt+7.6% 30d

    Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • KMI Kinder Morgan+5.0% 5d

    Kinder Morgan (natural gas transmission): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • WMB The Williams Companies

    The Williams Companies (natural gas transmission): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
UNG+4.28%-0.44%base+1.97%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%base-5.91%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+5.38%+6.75%base-8.53%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+7.18%+11.56%base-15.67%after closeafter closeafter close
LNG-4.34%+6.17%base-6.49%after closeafter closeafter close
EQT+3.64%+2.07%base-3.42%after closeafter closeafter close
KMI+2.07%+2.98%base-4.18%after closeafter closeafter close
WMB+2.46%+2.59%base-6.04%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington Natural Gas Intelligence

Source: Natural Gas Intelligence

What happened to United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) the last 15 times Strait of Hormuz was in the news

In the last 15 similar stories, United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) moved an average of -4.67% the next day. The best was -4.67% and the worst was -4.67%, from 1 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)the next day-4.67%-4.67%-4.67%1
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days later-6.49%-6.49%-6.49%1
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-0.14%+3.24%-1.69%15
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-0.19%+2.27%-1.42%14
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+1.31%+3.26%+0.26%15
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-0.58%+6.12%-4.19%14
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day+2.44%+4.46%+0.48%12
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later+2.39%+4.59%-6.70%12

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 4 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-15.67%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+11.56%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+7.18%final price
Eqt (EQT)that day-3.42%still updating
Eqt (EQT)three days earlier+2.07%final price
Eqt (EQT)five days earlier+3.64%final price
Kinder Morgan (KMI)that day-4.18%still updating
Kinder Morgan (KMI)three days earlier+2.98%final price
Kinder Morgan (KMI)five days earlier+2.07%final price
Cheniere Energy (LNG)that day-6.49%still updating
Cheniere Energy (LNG)three days earlier+6.17%final price
Cheniere Energy (LNG)five days earlier-4.34%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)that day+1.97%still updating
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days earlier-0.44%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)five days earlier+4.28%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-8.53%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Williams Companies (WMB)that day-6.04%still updating
Williams Companies (WMB)three days earlier+2.59%final price
Williams Companies (WMB)five days earlier+2.46%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-5.91%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

The Strait of Hormuz count beside this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 195 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 510 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) on one side of this energy story

Companies mentioned with this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    In “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “lng” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “lng” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • LNG Cheniere Energy

    Cheniere Energy (LNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington.” Reason on file: Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • EQT Eqt

    For “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington,” Eqt (EQT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • KMI Kinder Morgan

    For “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington,” Kinder Morgan (KMI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Kinder Morgan (natural gas transmission): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • WMB Williams Companies

    For “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington,” Williams Companies (WMB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Williams Companies (natural gas transmission): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

The 4 Nov 2026 story “Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington” names United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) because of Strait of Hormuz.

The link for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is this: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.12. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

A simple score for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Could Democrats Unlock Hormuz After Midterm Rout? LNG Markets Watching Washington” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.